使用机器学习方法的高效降雨预报系统

K. K, Vijayakumar N C, Poovizhi P, D. Selvapandian
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摘要

降水预期如同水资产板、随机水文学、雨水径流显示和洪水灾害救援一样,在日常生存标准中起着至关重要的作用。机器学习(ML)策略可以通过从先前大气信息的线性和非线性趋势中提取和整合模糊信息来操作计算技术并预测降水。目前有不同的估算降水的设备和策略;然而,目前还缺乏精确的结果。早期的技术在使用庞大的数据集进行降水估计的任何一点上都是迫在眉睫的。本文采用几种模型和策略对印度AP邦Nellore站降水信息进行了预测。相关综述的重点是创建和对比一些ML模型,评估各种情况和时间天际线,以及利用两种技术测量降水。预测方法使用四种不同的机器学习计算,分别是贝叶斯线性回归(BLR)、增强决策树回归(BDTR)、决策森林回归(DFR)和神经网络回归(NNR)。然后,利用独特的ML模型,即策略1 (M1):通过自相关函数(ACF)预测降雨量和技术2 (M2):通过预测误差预测降雨量,在不同的时间天际线上预测降雨量。结果表明,两种不同的策略已经应用于不同的情况和不同的时间天际线,并且利用BDTR演示,M1比M2显示出更好的高准确性。
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An Efficient Rainfall Forecasting System using Machine Learning Methods
Precipitation expectation is hugely critical in day-to-day existence standard just as for water asset the board, stochastic hydrology, and rain run-off displaying and flood hazard relief. Machine Learning (ML) strategies can operate computational techniques and anticipate precipitation by extracting and integrating the obscured information from the linear and non-linear trends of previous atmosphere information. Different devices and strategies for estimating precipitation are at present reachable; however, there is as yet a paucity of precise outcomes. Earlier techniques are impending short at whatever point monstrous datasets are utilized for precipitation estimate. In this research, a few models and strategies were applied to anticipate the precipitation information Nellore Station, AP State, India. The relative review was led zeroing in on creating and contrasting a few ML models, assessing various situations and time skyline, and gauging precipitation utilizing two kinds of techniques. The anticipation approach uses four distinct ML calculations, which are Bayesian-Linear-Regression (BLR), Boosted-Decision-Tree-Regression (BDTR), Decision-Forest-Regression (DFR) and Neural-Network-Regression (NNR). Then again, the precipitation was anticipated on various time skyline by utilizing distinctive ML models which is strategy 1 (M1): Predicting Rainfall by Autocorrelation-Function (ACF) and technique 2 (M2): Predicting Rainfall by forecasting Error. The outcomes show that, two distinct strategies have been applied with various situations and diverse time skylines, and M1 displays a preferably high exactness over M2 utilizing BDTR demonstrating.
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