越南消费者信心与股市指数的关系:新冠肺炎疫情的研究影响

Lu Xuan Trang, P. T. Nga
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摘要

本文研究了在新冠疫情冲击背景下越南股市消费者信心与股票市场指数之间的关系,数据收集自尼尔森数据来源2012Q1至2021Q4。消费者信心由消费者信心指数(CCI)和股票市场指数(SMI)来衡量。本文采用P.VAR模型对设定的目标进行求解。研究结果表明,2012年至2021年期间,越南消费者信心与股票市场指数之间存在很强的正相关关系。此外,过去CCI和SMI值的冲击也会影响当前CCI和SMI值。这表明,当消费者信心处于积极的方向时,SMI也将处于积极的方向,反之亦然。此外,结果表明,Covid - 19对上述关系没有显著影响。根据研究结果,笔者提出了治理启示,以吸引更多的投资者参与股票市场,有助于更有效地促进资本在循环经济中的流动
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Relationship between consumer confidence and stock market index in Vietnam: Research impacts of the passion of Covid-19
The article, studies the relationship between consumer confidence and the stock market index in Vietnam's stock market in the context of the Covid-19 pandemic shock, data collected from 2012Q1 to 2021Q4 from Nielsen data sources. Consumer confidence is measured by the consumer confidence index (CCI), and the stock market index (SMI). The authors use the P.VAR model to solve the set goals. Research results show that there is a strong positive relationship between consumer confidence and the stock market index in Vietnam in the period from 2012 to 2021. In addition, shocks of the past CCI and SMI value also affect current CCI and SMI values. This shows that when consumer confidence is in a positive direction, the SMI will also be in a positive direction and vice versa. In addition, the results showed that Covid 19 did not significantly affect the above relationship. From the research results, the authors propose governance implications to attract more investors to participate in the stock market, contributing to promoting capital in the circulating economy more effectively
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