新民主国家和老牌民主国家的分裂票投票和社会网络:1990年德国统一选举的准实验

D. Leiter
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摘要

老牌民主国家的选民在决定投一票时,可以依靠他们对民主的经验和对政党的长期依恋来指导他们的投票行为。然而,新民主国家的选民没有这些个人层面的信息来源和动机,而是可能依赖于他们的社会网络中的信息。利用1990年跨国选举项目德国统一选举研究,我检查了西德人和东德人在投票时使用的信息源。我发现,社会网络中的政治分歧对东德选民投票的影响更大,而个人层面的特征,尤其是政党依恋,对西德选民起着更大的作用。这些发现表明,在个人层面信息来源之间缺乏竞争的情况下,网络特征可能对政治决策产生深远的影响。
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Split Ticket Voting and Social Networks in New and Established Democracies: A Quasi-Experiment in the 1990 German Unification Elections
When deciding to cast a split ticket ballot, voters in established democracies can rely on their experience with democracy and long term party attachments to guide their voting behavior. However, voters in new democracies do not have these individual level sources of information and motivation, and may instead rely on information from their social networks. Using the 1990 Cross-National Election Project German Unification election study, I examine the information sources West and East Germans use when splitting their ballot. I find that political disagreement within a social network is much more influential in decisions to cast a split ticket ballot for East German voters, while individual-level traits, particularly party attachment, play a greater role for West German voters. These findings indicate that, in absence of competition between individual-level information sources, network characteristics may have a profound impact on political decision-making.
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