基于多尺度折刀的综合波动函数的高效估计

Jia Li, Yunxiao Liu, D. Xiu
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引用次数: 25

摘要

提出了多元半鞅过程的一般积分波动函数的半参数有效估计。众所周知,使用非参数估计现货波动率的插件方法会产生高阶偏差,需要根据中心极限定理进行校正。这种偏差项来自于边界效应、随机波动率的扩散和跳跃运动,以及非参数现货波动率估计的抽样误差。提出了一种新的叠刀校正方法。叠刀估计量简单地形成为与不同局部窗口大小相关的几个未校正估计量的线性组合,用于估计现货波动率。我们从理论上证明了我们的估计器是渐近混合高斯的,半参数有效的,并且对局部窗口的选择具有更强的鲁棒性。为了便于实际应用,我们引入了一个基于模拟的渐近方差估计量,使我们的推断是无导数的,因此,实现起来非常方便。
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Efficient Estimation of Integrated Volatility Functionals via Multiscale Jackknife
We propose semi-parametrically efficient estimators for general integrated volatility functionals of multivariate semimartingale processes. It is known that a plug-in method that uses nonparametric estimates of spot volatilities induces high-order biases which need to be corrected to obey a central limit theorem. Such bias terms arise from boundary effects, the diffusive and jump movements of stochastic volatility, and the sampling error from the nonparametric spot volatility estimation. We propose a novel jackknife method for bias-correction. The jackknife estimator is simply formed as a linear combination of a few uncorrected estimators associated with different local window sizes used in the estimation of spot volatility. We show theoretically that our estimator is asymptotically mixed Gaussian, semi-parametrically efficient, and more robust to the choice of local windows. To facilitate the practical use, we introduce a simulation-based estimator of the asymptotic variance, so that our inference is derivative-free and, hence, is very convenient to implement.
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