小心中国人带的礼物

Sophie Meunier
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引用次数: 7

摘要

在某些情况下,中国直接投资的指数级增长在发展中国家和发达经济体都受到了争议甚至抵制。在世界各地,批评人士表达了担忧,并谴责了这种投资的一些潜在危险,例如降低当地劳工标准,通过资产回流使工业核心空心化,以及获得军民两用技术。危言耸听的媒体头条警告中国不要一次一笔有争议的投资交易接管本国经济。随之而来的政治反弹往往会引起媒体的广泛关注,并对随后的交易进行更严格的审查。如何解释过去几年中国在美国和欧盟(EU)的直接投资爆炸式增长所带来的政治挑战?在过去十年中,西方对中国FDI的态度和政策是如何以及为什么发生了变化?本章考虑了中国在西方国家投资引发的政治挑战的两种不同解释。首先,中国的外国直接投资因其新颖性而引起政治不安。第二种看法是,中国的FDI本质上有些不同,因此不应像对待其他任何外国投资那样在政治上对待它。这两种解释导致了对中国在欧洲和美国的FDI未来的不同预测。第一部分分析了中国FDI的新颖性如何对西方政治家和公众构成政治挑战,并将当前的现象与过去存在政治问题的FDI来源进行了比较。第二部分考察了中国的外国直接投资在本质上有所不同的论点,特别是源于新兴经济体、独特的政治制度和安全维度的非盟友。第三部分探讨了提出这些挑战的国内政治背景:在欧洲,欧元危机和民粹主义的兴起;在美国,则是对地缘政治竞争的关注和经济民族主义的兴起。结论提出了这些政治挑战对中国对外投资未来的一些影响。
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Beware of Chinese Bearing Gifts
The exponential growth of Chinese direct investment has been accompanied in some cases by controversy and even resistance, both in developing and in developed economies. Around the world, critics have expressed fears and denounced some of the potential dangers of this investment, such as lowering of local labour standards, hollowing out of industrial core through repatriation of assets, and acquisition of dual use technology. Alarmist media headlines have warned against a Chinese takeover of national economies one controversial investment deal at a time. The ensuing political backlash has often received considerable media attention and increased scrutiny over subsequent deals. What explains the political challenges posed by the spectacular explosion of Chinese direct investment over the past few years in the United States (US) and the European Union (EU)? How and why have attitudes and policies in the West changed over the past decade towards Chinese FDI? This chapter considers two alternative explanations for the political challenges triggered by Chinese investment in Western countries. The first is that Chinese FDI causes political unease because of its novelty. The second is the perception that there is something inherently different about the nature of Chinese FDI and therefore it should not be treated politically like any other foreign investment. These two explanations lead to a different set of predictions for the future of Chinese FDI in Europe and the US. The first section analyses how the novelty of Chinese FDI may pose political challenges to Western politicians and publics and compares the current phenomenon with past instances of political problematic sources of FDI. Section II examines the argument that there is something inherently different about Chinese FDI, notably as stemming from an emerging economy, a unique political system, and a non-ally in the security dimension. The third section explores the domestic political context in which these challenges are raised: in Europe, the euro crisis and the rise of populism; in the US, the focus on geopolitical competition and the rise of economic nationalism. The conclusion raises some implications of these political challenges on the future of Chinese outward investment.
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