宏观经济新闻公告对日内隐含波动率的影响

Jieun Lee, Doojin Ryu
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摘要

本研究考察了日内期权隐含波动率对主要宏观经济指标预定公告的反应。通过对KOSPI 200期权当日数据的分析,我们发现在宏观经济消息发布前后,异常隐含波动率显著增加,其响应程度受到多种因素的影响,包括发布的宏观经济指标类型、期权类型和经济状况。具体来说,在这些公告的影响下,看跌期权隐含波动率的上升比看涨期权更为明显。这些影响在危机和危机后时期也比危机前时期更为明显。货币政策公告对隐含波动率的影响比其他公告更大,即使在控制了意外新闻因素后也是如此。最后,政策加息的影响似乎比政策降息更大。
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The Impacts of Macroeconomic News Announcements on Intraday Implied Volatility
This study examines the response of intraday options-implied volatilities to scheduled announcements of major macroeconomic indicators. By analyzing the KOSPI 200 options intraday data, we find that the abnormal implied volatility significantly increases around announcements of macroeconomic news and that the extent of the response is influenced by a variety of factors, including the type of macroeconomic indicators released, option type and economic conditions. Specifically, the increase in implied volatility around these announcements is more pronounced for puts than for calls. These effects are also more pronounced in the crisis and post-crisis periods than in the pre-crisis period. Monetary policy announcements have a more substantial impact on implied volatility than other announcements, even after controlling for news surprise components. Finally, the impact appears to be greater for policy rate hikes than for policy rate cuts.
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