埃塞俄比亚南部牧民和农牧家庭农村生计战略和收入多样化的决定因素

Algaga Balense, Sisay Debebe
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摘要

除农业外,从事非农业和/或非农业收入活动和使收入来源多样化是改善埃塞俄比亚南部牧民和农牧业家庭粮食安全水平和贫困状况的生计战略的核心。本研究分析了埃塞俄比亚南部南奥莫区Malle地区牧民和农牧户收入多样化水平和生计策略的决定因素。采用分层和随机抽样相结合的多阶段抽样方法,抽取了196户具有代表性的户主。采用描述性统计、Simpson多样性指数、多元Probit和双限Tobit模型。研究结果表明,农户参与农作、非农收入、小本贸易和非农收入的生计策略。影响生计策略的因素有年龄、性别、家庭规模、教育程度、农场规模、主要市场距离、牲畜存有量、合作社成员、信贷使用和交通便利。此外,影响收入多样化水平的因素有性别、家庭规模、受教育程度、牲畜饲养规模、作物歉收、最近的主要市场距离、农场收入以及非农业和非农收入份额。基于这一发现,政府应重视加强农业生产体系,同时通过扩大提供农村金融、性别主流化计划、正规教育、农民合作组织、畜牧生产体系和研究区牧民和农牧民的农村道路建设,加强所有非农和非农收入活动。关键词:生计策略,收入多元化,多元Probit和双极限Tobit模型,埃塞俄比亚南部
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DETERMINANTS OF RURAL LIVELIHOOD STRATEGIES AND INCOME DIVERSIFICATION AMONG PASTORAL AND AGROPASTORAL HOUSEHOLDS IN SOUTHERN ETHIOPIA
Apart from farming, engaging on non-farm and/or off-farm income activities and diversifying income earning means lie at the heart of livelihood strategies to improve the level of food security and poverty status of pastoralist and agro-pastoral households in southern Ethiopia. This study analyses the determinants of the level of income diversification and livelihood strategies of pastoral and agro-pastoral households in Malle District of South Omo zone, southern Ethiopia. A multi-stage sampling technique involving stratification and random sampling techniques were used to select 196 representative household heads. Descriptive statistics, Simpson Index of diversity, Multivariate Probit and Two-limit Tobit models were employed. The results of the study show that farmers participated in farming, non-farm income, petty trade and off-farm income livelihood strategies. The factors influencing livelihood strategies are age, sex, family size, educational level, farm size, main market distance, size of livestock holding, cooperative membership, use of credit, and transport access. Moreover, the factors influencing the level of income diversification are sex, family size, educational level, livestock holding size, crop failure, distance of nearest main market, income from farm, and share of non & off farm income. Based on the finding, the government should emphasize on strengthening agricultural production system with due attention parallelly given to strengthening all non-farm and off-farm income earning activities by expanding the provision of rural finance, gender mainstreaming program, formal education, farmer cooperative formation, livestock production system, and rural road construction among pastoralists and agro-pastoralists of the study area. Keywords: Livelihood Strategies, Income Diversification, Multivariate Probit and Twolimit Tobit models and Southern Ethiopia.
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