投资楔形的相对价格揭示了投资专用技术的作用?

Joël Wagner
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摘要

摘要为了识别投资特定技术(investment-specific technology, IST),大多数DSGE模型假设IST与相对投资价格(relative price of investment, RPI)呈完全反比关系。本文探讨了这种关系,并提供了证据,证明RPI也会对市场力量的变化做出反应,我发现市场力量构成了RPI波动的三分之一。为了证实这一结论,提出了两个相互竞争的模型;第一个是一个双扇区模型,其中一个楔形将IST的识别与RPI的逆分离。然后使用贝叶斯估计技术估计RPI楔。第二种更丰富的两部门模型产生了,在这种模型中,公司可以根据竞争对手的数量来调整加成。本文发现,相对加价的变化与零售价格指数楔形高度相关,有助于解释美国大衰退后零售价格指数的突然上升。此外,在内生价格加价的情况下,非ist冲击可以解释RPI中观察到的三分之一以上的波动,而投资边际效率对RPI波动的贡献率约为30%。
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What does a relative price of investment wedge reveal about the role of investment-specific technology?
Abstract In order to identify investment-specific technology (IST), most DSGE models assume a perfect inverse relationship between IST and the relative price of investment (RPI). This paper explores this relationship and provides evidence that the RPI also responds to changes in market power, which I find constitutes a third of volatility in the RPI. To corroborate this conclusion, two competing models are produced; the first is a two-sector model with a wedge separating the identification of IST with the inverse of the RPI. The RPI wedge is then estimated using Bayesian estimation techniques. A second, richer two-sector model is produced, where firms can vary markups depending on the number of competitors. This paper finds that changes in relative markups are highly correlated with the RPI wedge and help explain the sudden increase in the RPI following the Great Recession in the United States. In addition, with endogenous price markups, non-IST shocks can explain over a third of the volatility observed in the RPI, with marginal efficiency of investment contributing approximately 30 percent of the volatility in the RPI.
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