基于排队模型的COVID-19疫苗分配方案

Boxuan Lai, Hongjun Chen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着全球大流行不可避免,有必要尽快促进大规模疫苗接种。本文研究了COVID-19疫苗在城市地区的分配情况。首先利用Wave-net方法对未来疫苗接种趋势进行预测,然后对预测结果进行拟合,得到未来90天疫苗接种的数学模型。然后,根据排队模型,以道里区和拱墅区为例,分析了不同发展水平城市的疫苗配送政策。最后,对不同城市的疫苗配置提出了切实可行的建议。
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A COVID-19 Vaccine Allocation Scheme Based on Queuing Model
As the global pandemic becomes inevitable, it is necessary to promote large-scale vaccination as quickly as possible. This paper studies the allocation of COVID-19 vaccine in urban areas. First, the Wave-net method is used to predict the trend of future vaccination, and then the prediction results are fitted to obtain a mathematical model of vaccination in the next 90 days. Then, according to the queuing model, taking Daoli District and Gongshu District as examples, the policies of vaccine distribution in cities with different levels of development are analyzed. Finally, some practical suggestions on vaccine allocation in different cities are given.
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