附加值增长分解为解释因素

W. Diewert, Kevin J. Fox
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引用次数: 5

摘要

提出了一种分解名义增加值增长的方法,该方法确定了效率变化、初级投入增长、产出和投入价格变化、技术进步和规模回报的贡献。为了执行分解,需要对所审议的两个期间的有关成本限制的增值函数作出估计。这被认为是过去观测的自由处置壳。还考虑了部门间的汇总。该方法使用了1960年至2014年间美国两个部门的数据来说明,这两个部门共同构成了美国商业部门的大部分。对每个行业的分解提供了对经济增长驱动因素的关键见解。对于非企业非金融部门,我们发现衰退的成本特别高。
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Decomposing Value-Added Growth into Explanatory Factors
A method for decomposing nominal value-added growth is presented, which identifies the contributions from efficiency change, growth of primary inputs, changes in output and input prices, technical progress, and returns to scale. In order to implement the decomposition, an estimate of the relevant cost-constrained value-added function for the two periods under consideration is required. This is taken to be the free disposal hull of past observations. Aggregation over sectors is also considered. The methodology is illustrated using US data for two sectors, which together constitute majority of the US business sector, over the years 1960–2014. The decompositions for each sector provide key insights into the drivers of economic growth. For the noncorporate nonfinancial sector, we find that the cost of recessions was particularly high.
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