大数据环境下的能源负荷预测

Hicham Moad Safhi, B. Frikh, B. Ouhbi
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引用次数: 3

摘要

智能电网正在对能源管理产生重大影响。事实上,在电网中添加智能电表可以更好地监测和控制系统。此外,它还允许捕获各种数据。处理好消费者的需求,有利于实现能源的合理生产和消费。然而,能源管理中的一个具有挑战性的任务是估计消费者未来的能源需求,特别是当消费者改变他们的行为时。解决这个问题的一个关键因素是分析智能电网数据,发现可以有效用于预测能源消耗的隐藏模式和因素。在本文中,我们感兴趣的是外部变量对能源消耗的影响。我们首先介绍了能源负荷预测方法的现状,并强调了与大能源数据相关的挑战。然后,我们提供了在大数据背景下能源负荷生产的机器学习方法的比较。实验结果表明,外部变量对模型的精度和可解释性有很大的影响。
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Energy load forecasting in big data context
Smart grid is now making a significant impact on energy management. In fact, adding smart meters to the power grid allow a better system monitoring and control. In addition, it has also allowed a variety of data to be captured. Handling consumers needs is beneficial for a wise energy production and consumption. However, a challenging task in energy management concerns estimating the future energy demand of consumers, especially when consumers change their behavior. A key element to tackle this issue, is by analyzing smart grid data, and discovering hidden patterns and factors that can effectively be used to predict energy consumption. In this paper, we are interested in the effect of external variables on energy consumption. We first present the state of art of energy load forecasting approaches, also highlight the challenges associated with big energy data. Then we provide a comparison of machine learning approaches for energy load production in a big data context. Experimental results show the contribution of external variables on the model’s accuracy and interpretability.
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