一条公交线路多车道计算的随机优化

Huifen Chen
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引用次数: 16

摘要

我们考虑了计算一条公交线路的多个行车进度以使期望日利润最大化的问题。随机公交线路模型假设:(1)乘客到达遵循泊松过程,且可能出现退票;(2)各站点下客人数服从二项分布;(3)公交出行时间服从威布尔分布。目标函数——期望日利润,定义为票务收入减去运营和顾客等待成本——在公交车频率的变化中是不连续的。针对这一随机优化问题,我们提出了一种既能处理齐次泊松到达又能处理非齐次泊松到达的回溯优化算法。对仿真结果进行了讨论。
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Stochastic optimization in computing multiple headways for a single bus line
We consider the problem of computing multiple headways for a single bus line to maximize the expected daily profit. The stochastic bus-line model assumes that (1) the passenger arrivals follow a Poisson process with possible reneging; (2) the number of alighting passengers at each stop follows a binomial distribution; and (3) the bus travel time follows a Weibull distribution. The objective function - the expected daily profit, defined as the ticket revenue minus the operating and customer waiting costs - is discontinuous at changes in the bus frequency. For this stochastic optimization problem, we propose a retrospective optimization algorithm that can handle both homogeneous and nonhomogeneous Poisson arrivals. Simulation results are discussed.
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