基于改进叠加算法的网络舆情预警关键技术研究

Jing Luo
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摘要

突发事件网络舆情预警可以帮助人们了解真实情况,避免恐慌,及时提醒人们不要去高风险地区,帮助政府开展防疫工作。本文研究了基于改进堆叠算法的网络舆情预警关键技术。选取COVID-19、疱疹状咽峡炎、手足口病、水痘及几次突发疫情作为舆情研究对象,采用粗糙集筛选指标,确定最终预警指标。最后,采用50%叠置算法建立预警模型,并进行了训练精度和预测精度实验。实证研究表明,50%叠加的预测精度较好,预警模型具有实用性和鲁棒性。本研究对突发疫情的网络舆情预警具有较强的实用性。
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Research on key technologies of network public opinion warning based on improved stacking algorithm
Online public opinion warning for emergencies can help people understand the real situation, avoid panic, timely remind people not to go to high-risk areas, and help the government to carry out epidemic work.In this paper, key technologies of network public opinion warning were studied based on improved Stacking algorithm. COVID-19, herpangina, hand, foot and mouth, varicella and several emergency outbreaks were selected as public opinion research objects, and rough set was used to screen indicators and determine the final warning indicators.Finally, the warning model was established by the 50% fold Stacking algorithm, and the training accuracy and prediction accuracy experiments were carried out.According to the empirical study, the prediction accuracy of 50% Stacking is good, and the early warning model is practical and robust.This study has strong practicability in the early warning of the online public opinion of the sudden epidemic.
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