Unity框架

S. Bakumenko
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引用次数: 0

摘要

哥伦比亚的内战是现代历史上持续时间最长的战争,它发现自己正处于一个拐点,要么缓慢地实现和平,要么再次被战争吞噬。本文以2015年哥伦比亚政府与左翼FARC达成的和平协议为参照,提出了哥伦比亚政府与农业马克思主义组织ELN之间达成和平协议的计划。尽管目前执政的保守派政府敌视和平,但有几个切实的机会使未来几个月实现和平的时机成熟。拜登的当选、新冠肺炎疫情以及保守的战争方式越来越不受欢迎,都可能促使民族解放军走上谈判桌。这篇文章列出了民族解放军的和平协议,重点是农业、包容性、非法毒品和受害者的权利,并总结了实现和平的短期、中期和长期目标。
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A Framework for Unity
Colombia’s civil war, the longest war in modern history, finds itself at an inflection point in which either peace can slowly be attained or war can consume the country again. This article lays out a plan for a peace deal between the Colombian government and the agrarian Marxist ELN, taking the 2015 peace deal between the government and the leftist FARC as a point of reference. Despite a conservative administration that is hostile to peace currently in power, there are several tangible opportunities that make the next few months ripe for peace. The election of Joe Biden, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the growing unpopularity of the conservative approach to war can all facilitate the ELN coming to the negotiation table. This article lays out an ELN peace deal focused on agrarianism, inclusiveness, illegal drugs, and victims’ rights, and concludes with short-, mid-, and long-term goals to achieve peace.
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