基于极大似然估计原理的cox比例风险模型对毕业生首次就业等待时间的生存分析

Dhea Urfina Zulkifli, Riaman, Kankan Parmikanti, Bambang Ruswandi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

每个大学毕业生都希望能尽快找到理想的工作。但在现实中,由于就业市场竞争激烈,许多毕业生要等很长时间才能找到工作。生存分析可以用来分析获得第一份工作的等待时间长度。因此,本研究的目的是基于极大似然估计原理得到雅加达伊斯兰大学社会政治学院毕业生获得第一份工作等待时间长度的Cox比例风险模型参数,并通过分析性别、GPA和学习项目等变量来解释影响毕业生获得第一份工作等待时间长度的因素。本研究使用的数据来自学院的文件。研究发现毕业生获得第一份工作等待时间的Cox比例风险模型参数及其显著影响因素,即GPA和学习计划。
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SURVIVAL ANALYSIS OF THE FIRST JOB WAITING TIME FOR GRADUATES USING THE COX PROPORTIONAL HAZARD MODEL BASED ON THE MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION PRINCIPLE
Every university graduate certainly expects to obtain the desired job as soon as possible. But in reality, because of high competitiveness in job markets many graduates have long waiting time to get a job. Survival analysis can be used to analyse the length of waiting time to obtain the first job. Thus, the objectives of this research are to get Cox Proportional Hazard model parameter on the length of waiting time of the graduate of Faculty of Social and Political Sciences Syarif Hidayatullah State Islamic University Jakarta to obtain the first job based on Maximum Likelihood Estimation principle and to explain factors influencing the graduate’s length of waiting time to obtain the first job by analysing the variable of gender, GPA, and study program. Data used in this research are from document of the faculty. The research found Cox Proportional Hazard model parameter on the graduate’s length of waiting time to obtain the first job and its significant influential factors, namely GPA and study program.
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