高铁与普通铁路对区域经济增长影响的比较研究——基于DlD模型的实证研究

Ruowei Gan, Xiang Zheng, Ziyan Zhu, T. Han, Gengchen Zhu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

当前,高铁已成为人们生产生活中不可缺少的交通工具。然而,高铁开通后,普通铁路的发展也成为人们关注的对象,高铁对普通铁路的影响值得从实证的角度进行研究。本文以中国2000多个县市为研究对象,使用2004 - 2018年的数据,采用双差法分析高速铁路建设与普通铁路建设的影响,进一步拟合高速铁路与普通铁路的关系。研究结果表明:高铁开通对区域经济具有负面影响;普通铁路的开通对区域经济产生了积极的影响。通过分析高铁开通与普通铁路的交互效应,可以得出高铁开通对普通铁路对区域经济发展的影响具有抑制作用。
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A comparative study on the effects of high-speed rail and ordinary rail on regional economic growth—empirical research based on DlD model
: Today, high-speed rail has become an indispensable means of transportation in people's production and life. However, after the opening of the high-speed rail, the development of ordinary railways has also become an object of concern, and the impact of high-speed rail on ordinary railways is worth studying from an empirical perspective. This article takes more than 2,000 counties and cities in China as the research object, using the data from 2004 to 2018, using the double difference method to analyze the impact of high-speed railway construction and ordinary railway construction and further fitting the relationship between high-speed railway and ordinary railway. The research results show that: the opening of high-speed railways has a negative effect on the regional economy; the opening of ordinary railways has a positive effect on the regional economy. By analyzing the interaction effect of the opening of high-speed rail and ordinary railway, it can be concluded that the opening of high-speed rail has a restraining effect on the impact of ordinary railway on regional economic development.
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