根据以前报告的一般信息调整服务性能标准

Xiangling Hu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文采用最小二乘法建立随机模型,拟合服务绩效评价中常用的分类历史数据。然后,本文提供了确定收益最大化和下行风险可控目标的公式。本文进一步论证了在设定单一标准时,如果实现标准的收益和缺失标准的损失不随标准的不同而变化,人们就不会有动机去设定高标准,而会选择在最低的时候设定标准。另一方面,如果设定更高标准的潜在收益增长率超过了实现该标准的概率下降率,风险中性主体将有可能冒高风险追求不切实际的高标准。
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Adjusting Service Performance Criteria Based on Generalized Information from Previous Reports
This paper uses Least Square Method to develop the stochastic models to fit the categorized historical data which are commonly used in evaluating service performances. This paper then provides formulas to determine the targets for revenue maximization and downside risk under control. The paper further demonstrates that when setting a single criterion, if the benefit of achieving the criterion and the loss of missing the criterion do not vary according to the criterion, people will not have motivation to set a high criterion and will choose to set the criterion at the lowest point. On the other hand, if the potential gain increasing rate of setting a higher criterion overgrows the probability decreasing rate of achieving such a criterion, the risk-neutral agents will have the potential to take the high risk to pursue an impractically high criterion.
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