大型新能源多时间尺度吸收能力评价方法

Wenjun Niu, Bin Bai, F. Yang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

针对目前可再生能源消纳评估仅考虑单一时间尺度的缺点,本文提出了一种大规模、多时间尺度的新能源消纳能力评估方法。首先,基于ARIMA回归模型重构新能源输出;然后,基于长期调峰能力约束和短期稳定运行约束,分别提出了两种新能源消纳能力评价方法,得到了新能源电网消纳能力的多维度评价。最后,以实际电网为例,验证了基于IEEE 24总线系统的电网长期调峰能力约束和短期稳定运行约束的影响。
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Multi-time Scale Absorptive Capacity Evaluation Method for Large-scale New Energy Sources
In view of the disadvantage that only a single time scale is considered in the current assessment of renewable energy consumption, a large-scale and multiple time scales assessment method of new energy consumption capacity has been proposed in this paper. Firstly, the new energy output is reconstructed based on ARIMA regression model; Then, based on the long-term peak load regulation capacity constraints and the short-term steady running constraints, this paper puts forward two consumption capacity evaluation methods of new energy respectively to get the multiple dimensional evaluation of consumption capacity of the new energy power grid. Finally, take an actual grid for an instance, the constraint of long-term peak load regulation ability is verified, and the influence of short-term stable operation constraint is verified based on IEEE 24-bus system.
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