商业信用差异评价与预测模型:基于神经网络

Yi Wang, Huosong Xia, Jian Liu
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引用次数: 1

摘要

不同的银行账户资本配置导致不同的信用倾向,从而影响货币状况乃至整个金融体系。经济的多变和非线性因素往往给预测带来困难。本研究采用前馈反向网络(BP),以多家银行为样本进行预测建模。仿真结果表明,该模型具有较好的抗干扰性和较好的预测误差(小于2%)。此外,我们得到的结果是,非国有银行比国有银行更谨慎,平均高出10%。
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Commercial Credit Difference Evaluation and Prediction Model: Based on Neural Network
The different capital configurations of bank accounts for different credit tendency which will affect the currency condition as well as whole finance system. The mercurial and nonlinear factors of economy usually brought the difficulty when predicts. This study adopts the feed-forward backprop network (BP), conceiving predicting modeling with the sample of various banks’. The simulation results indicated that the model performs well in anti-interference and accurate in prediction error (less than 2%). Moreover, we got the result that non state-own banks tend to be more cautious than state-own by 10% on average.
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