新冠肺炎危机期间资本资产定价模型稳健性检验——来自印度股市的证据

M. Shah, Khursheed Ahmad Bhutt
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摘要

为了帮助投资者更好地理解当重大社会灾难来袭时,风险和回报如何在股市中发挥作用,本文以2019冠状病毒病大流行为例,检验了资本资产定价模型(CAPM)在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间在印度股市中的可靠性。本研究的目标是估计Nifty Fifty股票在COVID-19期间(2019-2021)的证券市场线CAPM测试。本研究采用第一次通过和第二次通过两种类型的回归来评估CAPM模型。在此基础上,运用回归分析方法,计算了Nifty50公司的超额收益率、贝塔、阿尔法和r平方。如果CAPM为真,那么在第二次回归中,Y0应该等于零,Y1应该等于超额收益。beta的t检验也不显著。因此,SML检验不成功,CAPM不能准确反映研究中超额收益与beta之间的联系。我们无法解释收益率与股票敏感性之间的关系,因为CAPM无效,模型不能充分解释结果。
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Testing The Robustness of Capital Asset Pricing Model During the Covid-19 Crisis: Evidence from Indian Stock Market
In order to help investors better understand how risk and return work in the stock market when significant societal catastrophes strike, the COVID-19 pandemic is used as an instance to examine the Capital Asset Pricing Model's (CAPM) reliability in the Indian stock market during COVID-19 pandemic outbreak. This study's goal is to estimate the security market line CAPM test for Nifty Fifty stocks over the COVID-19 Period (2019–2021). two types of regression: first-pass and second-pass were used to assess the CAPM model in this study. Furthermore, using regression analysis, we calculate the excess return, beta, alpha, and R-Squared on the Nifty50 companies in first-pass regression. If the CAPM is true, then in second pass regression, Y0 should equal zero and Y1 should equal excess return.  The t-test for beta is also not significant. As a result, the SML test was unsuccessful, and the CAPM does not accurately reflect the link between excess return and beta in the study. We cannot explain the relationship between return and stock sensitivity because the CAPM is invalid and the model does not adequately explain the outcome.
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