以色列在中东:一个新兴的“稳定新月”

Uri Resnick
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2020年以色列、阿联酋、巴林、摩洛哥和苏丹达成的《亚伯拉罕协议》正常化协议开启了以阿关系的新时代,在中东内部启动了新的地缘政治动态,并向更远的邻近地区辐射。这一事态发展标志着该区域内许多人对以色列区域一体化的看法发生了质的转变,双边和多边的务实、以技术为基础的合作取代了过去普遍存在的广泛的敌意。撇开伊朗的外交不谈,这些协议在贸易、旅游和以一系列区域发展问题为重点的合作技术项目方面产生了切实的成果。鉴于以色列-希腊-塞浦路斯非常牢固的"三角"伙伴关系、最近与土耳其和阿塞拜疆取得的外交成就以及印度在一些新的以色列-阿拉伯多边结构中发挥的明确作用,可以毫不夸张地说,正在出现的"稳定新月"从地中海延伸到高加索、中亚和印度,包围并在许多方面遏制了伊朗的不稳定影响。本文的研究目的是揭示以色列在中东地区的作用,将微观和宏观层面的分析结合起来,探讨历史事件和当前发展如何影响以色列的地区地位。
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Israel in the Middle East: A burgeoning “crescent of stability”
The 2020 Abraham Accords normalization agreements between Israel, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco and Sudan have ushered in a new era in Israeli-Arab relations, setting in motion novel geopolitical dynamics both within the Middle East and radiating further afield to adjacent regions. This development marks a qualitative shift in the way that Israel’s regional integration is perceived by many within the region, with pragmatic, technology-based collaboration, both bilaterally and multilaterally, replacing the widespread acrimony which prevailed in the past. Irenic diplomacy aside, the agreements have produced tangible results in trade, tourism and collaborative technological projects focused on a host of regional development issues. Given the very strong Israeli-Greek-Cypriot “triangular” partnership, recent diplomatic achievements with Turkey and Azerbaijan and the explicit role played by India in some of the new Israeli-Arab multilateral structures, it is no exaggeration to speak of an emerging “crescent of stability” stretching from the Mediterranean, through the Caucasus, Central Asia and India, enveloping — and in many ways containing — the destabilizing influence of Iran. The research objective of the paper is to reveal Israel’s role in the Middle East region, bringing together the micro and macro levels of analysis and exploring how historical events and current developments contribute to Israel’s regional position.
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