基于混合模型的网络工作负载资源预测研究

Yan Guo, Qian Wang
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引用次数: 2

摘要

鉴于大多数的研究都集中在使用单一的模型来预测网络的工作负荷,忽略了其他因素对网络内部资源的影响,导致大量的数据隐含信息丢失,往往难以获得准确的结果。本文提出了两种混合模型预测方法。该混合模型利用了ARIMA模型、卡尔曼滤波模型和BP神经网络模型,并将ARIMA模型与卡尔曼滤波和BP神经网络相结合。实验结果表明,与单一时间序列积分预测方法(自回归移动平均模型、BP神经网络和卡尔曼滤波)相比,两种混合模型方法具有更高的预测精度,有效提高了资源的利用率,有效提高了虚拟机资源的按需调度效率。
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Research on network workload resource prediction based on hybrid model
In view of the most of the research focuses on using a single model to forecast the network workload, ignoring other factors effect on the internal network resources, lead to large amount of data implied information loss, often difficult to obtain accurate results. This paper proposes two hybrid model prediction methods. The hybrid model takes advantage of ARIMA model, Kalman filter model and BP neural network model, and combines the ARIMA model with Kalman filter and BP neural network. Experimental results show that with a single time series prediction method of integral (autoregressive moving average model, BP neural network and kalman filtering), compared two methods of hybrid model has higher prediction accuracy, effectively improve the utilization rate of resources, effectively improve the efficiency of the on-demand scheduling of virtual machine resources.
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