南海风能的变率

Yisheng Zhang, Yongcun Cheng, Yizhi Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

对南海的海上风能进行了评价。然而,很少有研究关注风力资源的长期变化,这对区域风电场的规划和建设至关重要。利用先进散射计(ASCAT)和QuickSCAT遥感资料、ERA-interim和气候预报系统再分析(CFSR)资料,研究了南海风资源的时空变化特征。采用循环平稳经验正交函数分解(CSEOF)方法分析海上风电的时空变化规律。结果表明,CSEOF的第一模态(年周期信号)约占总变率的80%,第二或第三模态(取决于数据集的长度)与ENSO (El Niño-Southern涛动)高度相关。在厄尔尼诺事件期间观测到显著的风速变化。
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Variability of Wind Energy in the South China Sea
The offshore wind energy has been evaluated in the South China Sea. However, few works focus on the long-term variability of the wind resources, which is vital for regional wind farm planning and construction. In this work, we analyzed combined remote sensing data from Advanced Scatterometer (ASCAT) and QuickSCAT, ERA-interim and Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) data to investigate the spatial and temporal variations of wind resources in the South China Sea. The CSEOF (cyclostationary empirical orthogonal function decomposition) analysis was adopted to show the spatial-temporal patterns of the offshore wind energy. The results indicate that the first modes (annual cycle signals) accounted for about 80% of the total variability in the analyzed datasets, and the second or third mode (depends on the length of the dataset) of CSEOF high correlated with ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation). Significant wind speed variability was observed during the El Nino events.
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