英国脱欧与处置效应:来自新西兰、澳大利亚和印度股市的证据

M. Abraham
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本研究考察了经济危机(英国脱欧和全球金融危机)下的处置效应,发现新西兰、澳大利亚和孟买的股票市场在危机期间没有表现出显著的处置效应。本文利用二手数据分析来讨论处置效应,并采用Weber和Camerer(1998)开发并由Lin(2011)实施的方法。该研究的发现与预测一致,即经济危机并不一定表现出这些市场的处置效应,因为当投资者面临重大的金融和经济危机时,他们可能会出售亏损的股票,因为他们担心未来会有更大的损失。研究结果证明,投资者在危机期间可能会形成一种自我控制机制(Lin, 2011),以防止损失扩大,一旦损失超过其承受极限,投资者就会卖出亏损股票。研究结果也支持了处置效应的存在受到市场氛围和投资者“框架依赖”的影响,当面临英国脱欧和全球金融危机等高度不确定性时,投资者会抛售亏损股票以防止损失扩散(Shefrin, 2000)。该研究支持Boebel和Taylor(2000)的发现,他们基于新西兰市场个人投资者经纪人的账户信息进行了研究,没有发现处置效应。
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Brexit and Disposition Effect: Evidence from New Zealand, Australia and Indian Stock Markets
This study investigated the disposition effect under economic crisis (Brexit & GFC) and found that the stock markets of New Zealand, Australia and Mumbai did not show any significant disposition effect during the crisis period. The paper utilizes secondary data analysis to discuss the disposition effect and employs the method developed by Weber and Camerer (1998) and operationalized by Lin (2011).The finding of the study is consistent with the prediction that economic crisis does not necessarily show the disposition effect in these markets because as investors face major financial and economic crises, they may sell the losing stocks, since they are worried about larger loses in the future. The study results provide evidence that the investors may form a self-control mechanism (Lin, 2011) in order to prevent loss expansion during the crisis, and they will sell losing stocks once the losses exceed their limit of tolerance. The results also support the proposition that the presence of disposition effect is influenced by the market atmosphere and the “framing dependence” of investors, and when faced with high uncertainly like Brexit and GFC, investors sell losing stocks to prevent the spread of loss (Shefrin, 2000).The study supports the finding of Boebel and Taylor (2000) who conducted the study based on account information of brokers of individual investors in the New Zealand market and found no disposition effect.
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