新实验室

J. Hazelton
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摘要

本章讨论了英国领导的1965年至1976年在阿曼佐法尔的平叛行动是如何为强迫理论提供支持的。阿曼苏丹萨义德·本·泰穆尔(said bin Taimur)在遥远的西南角面临着民族主义和共产主义的叛乱。他的英国支持者敦促他进行改革,他对此表示反对,但他对加强军队表示欢迎。在1970年的一次宫廷政变中,苏丹的儿子取代了他,并获得了英国和该地区对这场运动的额外支持。和解的形式是赋予军阀和其他人权力,包括叛逃者和部落领袖。由这些人领导的英国民兵比正规军更能打击叛乱分子,从民众那里获取信息。最终,以英国为首的苏丹武装部队(SAF)通过控制平民切断了向叛乱分子提供的资源,从物理上阻断了从叛乱分子的安全避难所越过也门边境的资源流动,并控制了游击队横行的山区的民众,从而击败了叛乱分子的威胁。有限的政治改革,如诊所的建设,是在军队成功打击叛乱之后进行的,而不是导致叛乱分子的失败。
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A New Laboratory
This chapter discusses how the British-led counterinsurgency campaign in Dhofar, Oman, which ran from 1965 to 1976, provides support for the compellence theory. The sultan of Oman, Sa'id bin Taimur, faced a popular nationalist and Communist insurgency in its remote southwestern corner. His British backers pressed reforms on him, which he resisted, but he welcomed the buildup of his military. In a palace coup in 1970, the sultan's son replaced him and gained additional British and regional support for the campaign. Accommodations took place in the form of empowering warlords and others, including insurgent defectors and tribal leaders. The British-formed militias led by these men were better able to fight the insurgents and gain information from the populace than was the regular army. Ultimately, the British-led military, the Sultan's Armed Forces (SAF), defeated the insurgent threat by controlling civilians to cut the flow of resources to insurgents, physically blocking the flow of resources from the insurgents' safe haven across the border with Yemen, and controlling the populace in the guerrilla-ridden mountains. Limited political reforms such as construction of clinics followed the military's success against the insurgency rather than causing insurgent defeat.
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High Cost Success Counterinsurgency Success Not the Wars You’re Looking For How Much Does the Compellence Theory Explain? A New Laboratory
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