应用人工神经网络进行生活热水供热预测

P. Belány, P. Hrabovský, Katarina Bednarcikova, Z. Kolková, N. Kantová
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引用次数: 0

摘要

如今,采用自然可再生能源等环境友好型能源的压力很大。然而,它的不稳定性和对各种因素的依赖性使其应用成为一个挑战。随着新技术系统的部署,这种不可预测性可以消除,并最大限度地利用它们。本文讨论了利用人工网络预测光伏电站产热的可能性。创建简单神经网络的Matlab脚本作为预测模型的基础。采用基于Levenberg-Marquardt优化的反向传播技术建立函数拟合神经网络。由于该技术响应速度快,适用于计算速度快的基本预测。基于上述方法构建了一个简单的人工神经网络。根据输入和测量数据对创建的网络进行训练、测试和验证。在对结果进行验证后,将所构建的网络用于热生成的预测。预测结果有助于我们优化消费。该特性允许减少来自外部源的能源消耗。局部资源的利用和基于神经网络的优化提高了建筑的能源效率。第二个重要的好处是减少了对环境的影响和建筑的总碳足迹。
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Domestic Hot Water Heating Prediction with the Utilization of Artificial Neural Network
Nowadays, there is a lot of pressure to adopt environmentally friendly energy sources like natural renewable energy. However, its instability and dependency on a variety of factors make their application a challenge. With the deployment of new technological systems, this unpredictability can be eliminated and their utilization maximized. This article discusses the possibility of using an artificially network to predict heat generation in a photovoltaic power plant. A Matlab script that creates a simple neural network serves as the foundation for the prediction model. The function fitting neural network is created using a backpropagation technique based on the Levenberg-Marquardt optimization. Because of the rapid response of the technique, it is suitable for basic predictions using fast computation speed. A simple artificial neural network based on the aforementioned approach is built in a publication. Created network is trained, tested, and validated on input and measured data. The constructed network is utilized as a prediction of heat generation after the results have been validated. The predictions' outcomes assist us to optimize consumption. This feature allows decreasing energy consumption from an external source. The utilization of a local source and optimization based on neural networks increase building energy efficiency The second important benefit is a decrease in the environmental impact and total carbon footprint of buildings.
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