一切如常:成本是什么?

G. Metcalf
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本章描述了如果我们不减少碳污染,我们将面临的额外损害。极端天气越频繁,造成的损害就越大。我们还必须为更强大的防气候基础设施买单,以适应新的天气条件,改变我们的生活方式,避免受到伤害。本章还讨论了气候变化的不确定性,并为气候怀疑论者提供了一种思考气候变化的方法。帕斯卡打赌的例子被用来说明,为什么即使面对损害程度的不确定性,不采取行动应对气候变化的风险更大。
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Business as Usual: What Are the Costs?
This chapter describes the additional damages we will face if we don’t cut our carbon pollution. More frequent occurrences of extreme weather will cause more damages. We will also have to pay for stronger climate-proof infrastructure to adapt to new weather conditions and change our lifestyles to stay out of harm’s way. The chapter also addresses the uncertainties of climate change and suggests a way for climate skeptics to think about climate change. The example of Pascal’s Wager is used to illustrate why it is riskier not to act on climate change even in the face of uncertainty about the magnitude of the damages.
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