白俄罗斯共和国对外移民的特点和趋势

Andrei Hrybau, V. Kulakou, Agnieszka Napiórkowska-Baryła
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引用次数: 2

摘要

这项研究确定了白俄罗斯共和国目前发展阶段典型的外来移徙的主要趋势及其对经济的影响。全球金融和经济危机的后果对全球各地的移民流动产生了相当大的影响。这些进程反映在不同国家劳动力市场日益紧张的局势中。白俄罗斯劳动力市场的基本特点仍然是私营部门所占份额低和国家过度干预。对于处于转型期的白俄罗斯经济来说,21世纪初外国劳动力资源的最初流入已转变为技术工人外流的明显趋势。这一趋势需要详细分析目前的进程,并确定移徙的主要方向和原因,特别是在观察到的人口减少过程中。本文的分析基于白俄罗斯共和国国家统计委员会的数据,涵盖2014-2018年。研究中使用的比较统计分析方法(创造反映这一现象随时间变化的时间序列)确定了白俄罗斯共和国国内移徙过程的当前趋势和特征。此外,还确定了人口流动的主要方向以及移徙流动的结构和强度变化的原因。
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Features and Trends in External Migration in the Republic of Belarus
This study identified the major trends in external migration, typical of the current development stage of the Republic of Belarus and their effect on the economy. The consequences of the global financial and economic crisis had a considerable impact on migration flows around the globe. These processes are reflected in the growing tension in the labour markets in different countries. The basic features of the Belarusian labour market remain the low share of the private sector and excessive state interventionism. For the Belarusian economy, which is in transition, the initial inflow of foreign labour resources at the beginning of the 2000s has transformed into a clear trend towards an outflow of skilled workers. This trend requires a detailed analysis of current processes and identification of the major directions and causes of migration, especially in the depopulation processes observed. The analysis presented in this paper is based on data from the National Statistics Committee of the Republic of Belarus and covers the years 2014-2018. The comparative statistical analysis method used in the study (creating time series reflecting changes of the phenomenon over time) identified the current trends and characteristic features of internal migration processes in the Republic of Belarus. Moreover, the main directions of population movements were determined as well as the causes of changes in the structure and intensity of migration flows.
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