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引用次数: 2
摘要
数学上的概率概念是由Andrey Nikolaevich Kolmogorov在1933年通过建立一个五公理系统提出的。在加入三个新公理后,可以将该方案改进为虚数集的体现。因此,任何随机现象都可以在复概率集合C中进行,即实概率集合R和虚概率集合M的和。我们现在的目标是将互补的虚维包含到R中“真实”实验室中发生的随机现象中,从而在集合R、M和C中测量所有相应的概率。因此,整个集合C = R + M中的概率不断地等于1,独立于R中输入随机变量分布的所有概率,随后R中随机现象的输出可以完全在C中评估。这是因为C中的概率是在我们对不确定性现象的了解程度中消除并减去混沌因素后计算的。我们将把这种新的范例应用于概率论中的经典贝叶斯定理。
The Paradigm of Complex Probability and Thomas Bayes’ Theorem
The mathematical probability concept was set forth by Andrey Nikolaevich Kolmogorov in 1933 by laying down a five-axioms system. This scheme can be improved to embody the set of imaginary numbers after adding three new axioms. Accordingly, any stochastic phenomenon can be performed in the set C of complex probabilities which is the summation of the set R of real probabilities and the set M of imaginary probabilities. Our objective now is to encompass complementary imaginary dimensions to the stochastic phenomenon taking place in the “real” laboratory in R and as a consequence to gauge in the sets R, M, and C all the corresponding probabilities. Hence, the probability in the entire set C = R + M is incessantly equal to one independently of all the probabilities of the input stochastic variable distribution in R, and subsequently the output of the random phenomenon in R can be evaluated totally in C. This is due to the fact that the probability in C is calculated after the elimination and subtraction of the chaotic factor from the degree of our knowledge of the nondeterministic phenomenon. We will apply this novel paradigm to the classical Bayes’ theorem in probability theory.