尼泊尔银行业的银行稳定性及其决定因素

N. Singh
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文调查了银行稳定性及其银行特定,行业特定,宏观经济和尼泊尔银行业的制度决定因素。该研究采用GMM系统对2004年至2018年期间的银行级数据进行了分析。研究结果表明,尼泊尔银行业的稳定性在研究初期,即2004-2007年有所改善;然而,在研究期间的其余时间里,它呈现出衰减趋势。分析表明,造成这种恶化的主要因素是资本充足率、资产质量和银行收益。在研究期间的最初几年,大多数方面都有所改善;然而,这一趋势在2007年后发生了逆转。该研究将银行根据各自的稳定性评分分为三类:稳定、中等稳定和不太稳定的银行。估计结果表明,尼泊尔银行业存在正的银行稳定性持久性。结果表明,信贷增长对银行的稳定性有负面影响。研究结果支持浓度-稳定性假说。收入多元化似乎对银行的稳定性有积极影响。调查结果显示,通货膨胀在影响银行稳定性方面发挥着至关重要的作用。研究表明,全球金融危机对尼泊尔银行业的稳定性没有显著影响。
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Bank Stability and Its Determinants in The Nepalese Banking Industry
This paper investigates bank stability and its bank-specific, industry-specific, macroeconomic and institutional determinants for the Nepalese banking industry. The study employs the system GMM to a panel of bank-level data covering the period from 2004-2018.  The results show that the stability of the Nepalese banking industry improved during the early years of the study period, i.e., 2004-2007; however, it exhibited a decaying trend for the rest of the study period. The analysis reveals that the major factors responsible for this deterioration are capital adequacy, asset quality, and earnings of the banks. Most of the dimensions have shown improvements during the initial years of the study period; however, this trend reversed post-2007.The study groups the banks into three categories: stable, moderately stable, and less stable banks as per their respective stability score. The estimation results indicate that a positive bank stability persistence exists in the Nepalese banking industry. Results suggest that credit growth has a negative impact on the stability of the banks. The results of the study support the concentration-stability hypothesis. Income diversification appears to have a positive impact on the stability of the banks. Findings disclose that inflation is playing a crucial role in impacting the stability of the banks. The study reveals that the GFC had no significant impact on the stability of the Nepalese banking industry.
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