寿险中的信息不对称:终身寿险与定期寿险的区别

Shinichi Yamamoto, Takau Yoneyama, W. Kwon
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文提供了支持逆向选择和道德风险存在于终身寿险和定期寿险市场的实证证据。我们使用人寿保险公司的数据来识别逆向选择、道德风险和体检影响。根据日本130多万份保险单的数据,我们发现保险单开始时被保险人的死亡率低于一般公众的死亡率;通过体检对被保险人进行选择,未发现新终身寿险和定期寿险风险存在逆向选择。在自动续保定期寿险的情况下,保险公司使用与选择性续保定期寿险相同的管制死亡率表来设定价格,医疗选择的有效性在保单有效期大约5年后减弱,而逆向选择的成本和自杀的道德风险在第5年左右开始出现。
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ASYMMETRIC INFORMATION IN LIFE INSURANCE: DIFFERENCE BETWEEN WHOLE LIFE AND TERM LIFE
This paper provides empirical evidence consistent with the existence of adverse selection and moral hazard in the whole life and term life insurance market. We use life insurance companies' data to recognize adverse selection, moral hazard, and medical examination effects. Drawing on data from more than 1.3 million insurance policies in Japan, we find evidence that the mortality of the insured at policy inception is lower than that of the general public; with the selection of the insured via medical examination, we did not find adverse selection in new whole life and term life insurance risks. In the case of automatic renewal of term life policies where insurance companies set the price using the same regulated mortality table as that of optional renewal term life policies, the effectiveness of medical selection attenuates after approximately five years of the policy life, and the costs from adverse selection and the moral hazard from suicide begin to occur around the fifth year.
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