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An Approach to Modeling on Financial Time Series Data with Regime Shifts 一种具有制度转移的金融时间序列数据建模方法
Pub Date : 2020-02-01 DOI: 10.15057/30973
Daisuke Yokouchi, Takeshi Kato, Y. Aoki
This paper proposes a new method to analyze time series data with regime shifts and makes the following three contributions: (1) it suggests an exponential weighted estimation algorithm for autoregressive model with time varying coefficients, (2) it gives a visualization technique of structural change points and an outlier measure based on the Mahalanobis distance and (3) it illustrates that our method works for hedge fund return data and high frequency FX data.
本文提出了一种新的方法来分析具有制度转移的时间序列数据,并做出了以下三个贡献:(1)提出了一种具有时变系数的自回归模型的指数加权估计算法;(2)给出了结构变化点的可视化技术和基于马氏距离的离群值度量;(3)说明了我们的方法适用于对冲基金收益数据和高频外汇数据。
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引用次数: 0
Prioritizing Public Interest: The Essence of Shibusawa's Doctrine and Its Implications for the Re-invention of Capitalism 公共利益优先:涩泽学说的本质及其对资本主义再造的启示
Pub Date : 2020-02-01 DOI: 10.15057/30972
Kazuhiro Tanaka
Shibusawa Eiichi, an entrepreneur in modern Japan, insisted that morality and economy are mutually inseparable, and therefore compatible. Although this doctrine of “the inseparability of morality and economy” was regarded as the hallmark philosophy of Shibusawa, he is not the only one to advocate the compatibility of morality and economics. Adam Smith and Michael Porter have made similar assertions. Closely comparing their opinions with Shibusawaʼs opinion, however, turns up some inherent differences. Similarly to Smith and Porter, Shibusawa is fully in favor of the pursuit of private profit; but unlike them, he emphasizes that business should be conducted with public interest as the intended and primary objective in itself. The very order of “public interest first, private profit second” is the essence of Shibusawaʼs doctrine. I would argue in this paper that Shibusawaʼs doctrine has a great potential in re-inventing contemporary capitalism in crisis.
现代日本企业家涩泽荣一坚持认为,道德和经济是不可分割的,因此是兼容的。虽然这种“道德与经济不可分割”的学说被认为是涩泽哲学的标志,但他并不是唯一一个主张道德与经济相容的人。亚当•斯密(Adam Smith)和迈克尔•波特(Michael Porter)也做出了类似的断言。然而,将他们的观点与涩泽的观点进行比较,就会发现一些内在的差异。与史密斯和波特类似,涩泽完全赞成追求私人利益;但与他们不同的是,他强调商业活动本身应该以公众利益为主要目标。“公共利益第一,私人利益第二”的秩序正是涩泽学说的精髓所在。在本文中,我认为涩泽的学说在重塑危机中的当代资本主义方面具有巨大的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
The Cyclical Patterns of Capital Buffers: Evidence from Japanese Banks 资本缓冲的周期性模式:来自日本银行的证据
Pub Date : 2020-02-01 DOI: 10.15057/30975
Karen Lin
This study explores the relationship between banks' choice of capital buffers and prevailing macroeconomic conditions. Considering the unique features of Japan's economy and diverse capital adequacy standards, I analyze the data of Japanese commercial banks from 2002 to 2012. I find a negative relationship between capital buffers and the phases of the business cycle, but a positive relationship for internationally active banks. The negative signs were larger in magnitude and of higher significance level when including crisis dummies. The findings suggest that the capital buffers of internationally active banks behave in a countercyclical manner; however, during crises, the capital buffer patterns became procyclical.
本研究探讨了银行资本缓冲选择与当前宏观经济状况之间的关系。考虑到日本经济的独特性和资本充足率标准的多样性,我分析了2002 - 2012年日本商业银行的数据。我发现资本缓冲与商业周期阶段之间存在负相关关系,但与国际活跃银行之间存在正相关关系。当包括危机假人时,负面信号的幅度更大,显著性水平更高。研究结果表明,国际活跃银行的资本缓冲表现为逆周期行为;然而,在危机期间,资本缓冲模式变得顺周期性。
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引用次数: 0
Produktions- und kostentheoretische Fundierung der Kostenrechnung der Servicefunktionen 生产和支付服务成本的支付方
Pub Date : 2018-10-01 DOI: 10.15057/30131
Hiroshi Obata
Von wenigen Ausnahmen abgesehen, beschränken sich bisherige Untersuchungen der Produktionsund Kostentheorie auf den Fertigungsbereich. Die Produktionsund Kostentheorie für die allgemeinen Dienstleistungen wurde z.B. von Berekoven (1974), Maleri (1991), Altenburger (1980) und Corsten (1990) erforscht. Dabei handelte es sich um die allgemeingültigen Produktionsfaktorsysteme für Dienstleistungsunternehmungen. Vor allem das Problem des externen Faktors wurde diskutiert. Dieses Problem möchte ich im nächsten Abschnitt behandeln. Im Rahmen der innerbetrieblichen Serviceerstellung entsteht die Frage, was man unter dem Output der Servicefunktionen verstehen soll. Ich möchte diese Frage unter Einbeziehung des Begriffes des „externen Faktors“ beantworten. Darauf muss ich hingewiesen, dass der Einsatz der Grenzplankostenrechnung im Servicebereich auf Messungsprobleme stößt. Aber die Probleme der Inputund der Outputmessung bestehen sowohl bei der Istkostenrechnung als auch schon bei der Produktionsund Kostentheorie der Servicefunktionen. Trotzdem wurden diese Probleme selten diskutiert. Daher möchte ich an dieser Stell auch auf diese Probleme näher eingehen.
除了少数例外,企业生产和支付成本的研究仅限于制造业。Berekoven(1974年)、马利林(1991年)、阿尔登堡(1980年)和科斯滕(1990年)研究了生产和支付共同服务的支付理论。这通常是服务使用的常规生产要素系统。尤其提到了外部因素的问题。我想在下一段中讨论这个问题。网络服务输出提出了一个问题:该如何定义服务功能的输出。我想去掉“外部因素”的概念来回答这个问题。我得指出测量问题影响了边境计划费用但投入和产出衡量的问题既存在于定价问题,也存在于生产率和服务支付学理论问题。尽管如此,这些问题很少被讨论。所以我想在这里进一步探讨这些问题。
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引用次数: 0
The Luxury Watches as Double-Storied Symbol System: Brand Historicity in Ahistorical China 奢侈手表作为双重象征体系:非历史中国的品牌历史性
Pub Date : 2018-10-01 DOI: 10.15057/30132
Dingjian Wang, Y. Yamashita
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引用次数: 0
The Value and Credit Relevance of IFRS versus J-GAAP Accounting Information IFRS与J-GAAP会计信息的价值和信用相关性
Pub Date : 2017-12-01 DOI: 10.15057/30974
Jong-hoon Kim, Y. Koga
This paper examines which accounting information -one is accounting information based on Japanese GAAP (JGAAP) and the other is those based on IFRS- better explains total market capitalizations of firms’ common stock and credit ratings issued by credit-rating agencies. Our results are as follows. First, both value and credit rating relevance of IFRS-based net income measures are statically significantly lower than those based on JGAAP. Second, IFRS-based net income measures incrementally lower the credit rating relevance of accounting information. These results suggest that both value and credit rating relevance of net income information of Japanese firms could become impaired by the adoption of IFRS.
本文考察了哪一种会计信息——一种是基于日本公认会计准则(JGAAP)的会计信息,另一种是基于国际财务报告准则的会计信息——能更好地解释公司普通股的总市值和信用评级机构发布的信用评级。我们的结果如下。首先,基于ifrs的净收入指标的价值和信用评级相关性在统计学上显著低于基于JGAAP的净收入指标。其次,基于国际财务报告准则的净收入计量逐渐降低了会计信息的信用评级相关性。这些结果表明,日本公司的净收入信息的价值和信用评级相关性可能会因采用国际财务报告准则而受到损害。
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引用次数: 3
IMPACT OF FAIR VALUE MEASUREMENT ON CORPORATE INVESTMENT: OTHER COMPREHENSIVE INCOME 公允价值计量对企业投资的影响:其他综合收益
Pub Date : 2017-10-01 DOI: 10.15057/28854
Tomohiro Suzuki, Takuma Kochiyama
Fair value measurement (FVM) has been criticized for its pro-cyclical effect, especially during the financial crisis of 2008. In this study, we extend the concept of pro-cyclicality to business firms and explore whether and how such FVM affects corporate investment. Specifically, we use other comprehensive income (OCI) as an aggregated metric of fair value adjustments and regard this as a potential financing constraint on investment. In a sample of Japanese listed firms, we find that negative OCI in particular, negative OCI on foreign currency translations results in lower capital investment. Moreover, we report that a decline in foreign currency translations is more likely to inhibit a firmʼs over-investment rather than to encourage under-investment. Overall, our findings suggest that FVM provides timely and useful information to managers in terms of their investment decision-making.
公允价值计量(FVM)因其顺周期效应而受到批评,尤其是在2008年金融危机期间。在本研究中,我们将顺周期的概念扩展到商业公司,并探讨这种FVM是否以及如何影响公司投资。具体而言,我们使用其他综合收益(OCI)作为公允价值调整的汇总指标,并将其视为对投资的潜在融资约束。在日本上市公司的样本中,我们发现负OCI,特别是外币兑换的负OCI导致资本投资减少。此外,我们报告外币折算的下降更有可能抑制公司的过度投资,而不是鼓励投资不足。总体而言,我们的研究结果表明,FVM为管理者的投资决策提供了及时和有用的信息。
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引用次数: 2
WHICH DO YOU PREFER, ARTISANAL OR LABORATORY MADE?: QUANTIFICATION IN TRADITIONAL JAPANESE SAKE BREWING 你喜欢手工制作的还是实验室制作的?:日本传统清酒酿造中的定量
Pub Date : 2017-10-01 DOI: 10.15057/28855
Keisuke Hori, Yusuke Hoshino, H. Shimizu
How does scientific quantification come into areas where uncodified knowledge and craftsmanship are recognized as a mission-critical factor? Exploring the sake brewing process, this study examines how quantification based on science has been implemented and utilized in the traditional brewing process from the 2000s. Scientific quantification in the sake brewing process grew not from the fallen trust in experts and the need to ensure accountability, but from the expected shortage of expert supply. Substituting seasonal migrant experts with in-house workers, introducing scientific quantification into the brewing criteria, and relying on rigorous measurement obtained from award-winners presented a reasonable solution to the decreasing seasonal migrant master brewer supply. The introduction of rigorous quantification aimed to eliminate variation in sake quality and to control brewing quality at a high level that is supposed to be equivalent to the quality that can be achieved by the guidance of a top master brewer. Quantification has advanced in brewing, even though consumers still highly appreciate the uncodified knowledge that craftsmanship holds.
科学的量化是如何进入那些未经整理的知识和工艺被认为是任务关键因素的领域的?本研究以清酒酿造过程为研究对象,考察了自2000年代以来,基于科学的量化是如何在传统酿造过程中实施和利用的。清酒酿造过程中的科学量化并非源于对专家的信任下降和确保问责的需要,而是源于预期的专家供应短缺。用内部工人代替季节性移民专家,在酿造标准中引入科学量化,依靠获奖者的严格测量,为季节性移民主酿酒商供应减少提供了合理的解决方案。引入严格的量化,旨在消除清酒质量的变化,并将酿造质量控制在一个高水平,应该相当于一个顶级酿酒大师的指导下可以达到的质量。量化已经在酿造中取得了进步,尽管消费者仍然高度赞赏工艺所拥有的未经编纂的知识。
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引用次数: 1
WHAT EXPLAINS WIDENING PROFITABILITY DISPERSION AROUND THE WORLD 如何解释全球范围内不断扩大的盈利能力差异呢
Pub Date : 2016-10-01 DOI: 10.15057/28214
M. Nakano, Yasuharu Aoki
This study explores the fundamentals of profitability dispersion across ten countries between 1982 and 2007. Profitability dispersion level and its time-series behavior vary by year and by country. Both accounting and economic factors cause this phenomenon. Using aggregate data, we report evidence that the dispersion is significantly related to income smoothing, discretion in reported earnings, the presence of small firms, and macro firm performance. The presented results are almost robust to the definition of profitability dispersion and differences of legal system. Our research contributes to the literature on international differences in earnings properties.
本研究探讨了1982年至2007年间10个国家的盈利能力分散的基本原理。盈利能力的分散水平及其时间序列表现因年份和国家而异。会计因素和经济因素都造成了这种现象。使用汇总数据,我们报告的证据表明,这种分散与收入平滑、报告收益的自由裁量权、小企业的存在和宏观企业绩效显著相关。所得结果对盈利能力、差异和法律制度差异的定义具有较强的鲁棒性。我们的研究为有关国际间收入属性差异的文献做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 4
EMPIRICAL STUDY OF PERSONAL RELATIONSHIP CLASSIFICATION EFFECT AMONG GROUP-ORIENTED COUNTRIES 群体导向型国家人际关系分类效应的实证研究
Pub Date : 2016-10-01 DOI: 10.15057/28213
Ichiro Furukawa
The theory of reasoned action (Ajzen and Fishbein (1977)) is one of the most well known concepts used in quantitative analysis in marketing research. In addition to its simple structure, predictive power, and diagnostic information associated with marketing actions, it includes two clearly distinct independent factors, that is, attitude and social norm for the intention of choice alternatives. Because characteristics of this model are so attractive and flexible, the theory of reasoned action model can be adapted from collectivistic regions to individualistic regions. However, we have little knowledge about whether or not this model works satisfactorily in strong group-oriented countries where social norms can surpass individual attitudes for choice alternatives (which is the definition of a group-oriented society). In this paper, data collected from Japan, China and Taiwan were analyzed using factor analysis and structural equation modeling. By investigating the empirical results with a focus on the effect of personal relationship classification, we show that care should be exercised in using the reasoned action model in countries that have strong group-orientation.
理性行为理论(Ajzen和Fishbein(1977))是市场研究中定量分析中最著名的概念之一。除了简单的结构、预测能力和与营销行为相关的诊断信息外,它还包括两个明显不同的独立因素,即态度和社会规范对选择方案的意图。由于理性行为模型的特点具有很强的吸引力和灵活性,因此理性行为模型理论可以从集体主义地区适用于个人主义地区。然而,我们对这种模式是否在强大的群体导向国家令人满意地工作知之甚少,在那里,社会规范可以超越个人对选择的态度(这是群体导向社会的定义)。本文采用因子分析和结构方程模型对日本、中国和台湾地区的数据进行分析。通过对个人关系分类影响的实证结果的调查,我们表明,在具有强烈群体取向的国家,应谨慎使用理性行为模型。
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引用次数: 1
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Hitotsubashi journal of commerce and management
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