具有中间变量的叠加层&双向层长短期记忆(LSTM)时间序列天气预报模型

S. K. Verma, Aman Gupta, Ankita Jyoti
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引用次数: 1

摘要

多年来,天气预报一直是研究人员的难题,今天仍然如此。新的和快速算法的发展有助于研究人员在追求更好的天气预报近似。由于环境行为的变化、地球温度的升高和生态系统的剧烈变化,这一问题吸引了研究人员。目前,世界上几乎所有地方都在经历一系列自然灾害,包括陆地和海上风暴,这些风暴摧毁了基础设施,夺走了许多人的生命。机器学习和深度学习算法给研究人员和公众带来了希望,他们将能够开发快速应用程序并实时预测天气警报。由于深度学习和大量可用的天气数据的结合,研究人员有动力去研究预报中隐藏的天气模式。在本文中,所提出的模型将用于分析中间变量,以及与天气预报相关的变量。长短期模型(Long - Short-Term Model, LSTM)的精度受模型层数、叠加层LSTM的层数和双向LSTM的层数的影响。由于在内存块中包含一个中间信号,因此本文提出的方法是LSTM的扩展版本。前提是输入数据集中的两个极度连接的模式可以纠正输入模式,通过在模式之间建立更强的连接,使模型更容易从训练数据集中搜索和识别模式。在每一次试验中,都有必要理解一个持久的学习模式,并认识到天气模式。它利用预测信息,如能见度,以及中间信息,如温度、压力、湿度和饱和度等。在双向LSTM中,准确率最高为0.9355,均方根误差最低为0.0628。
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Stack layer & Bidirectional Layer Long Short - Term Memory (LSTM) Time Series Model with Intermediate Variable for weather Prediction
Weather forecasting has been a difficult problem for researchers for many years and continues to be today. The development of new and fast algorithms aids researchers in the pursuit of better weather forecast approximations. This problem attracts researchers because of the changing behavior of the environment, the increase in earth's temperature, and the drastic changes in ecosystem. Almost everywhere in the world is currently experiencing a slew of natural disasters, including storms on land and sea that are destroying infrastructure and taking the lives of many people. Machine learning and deep learning algorithms gave researchers and the general public hope that they would be able to develop fast applications and predict weather alarms in real time. Because of the combination of deep learning and the large amount of weather data that is available, researchers are motivated to investigate the hidden patterns of weather in forecasting. In this paper, the proposed model will be used to analyze intermediate variables, as well as variables associated with weather forecasting. Long Short-Term Model (LSTM) accuracy is affected by the number of layers in the model, as well as the number of layers in the stacked layer LSTM and the number of layers in Bidirectional LSTM. Because of the inclusion of an intermediate signal in the memory block, the methods proposed in this paper are an extended version of the LSTM. The premise is that two extremely connected patterns in the input dataset can rectify the input patterns and make it easier for the model to search for and recognize the pattern from the trained dataset by building a stronger connection between the patterns. In every trial, it is necessary to comprehend a long-lasting model for learning and to recognize the weather pattern. It makes use of predicted information such as visibility, as well as intermediate information such as temperature, pressure, humidity, and saturation, among other things. In bidirectional LSTM, the highest accuracy of 0.9355 and the lowest root mean square error of 0.0628 were achieved.
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