长短期记忆在微电网负荷预测中的应用

A. Zhavoronkov, O. Aksyonova, E. Aksyonova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

分布式供电系统、微电网的发展被认为是相关的,需要深入研究。微电网管理系统的研究与数据科学有着千丝万缕的联系。本文介绍了使用软件预测一个典型微电网在一个月的间隔内消耗的负荷的研究。描述了时间序列预测问题的公式,并将其应用于经典平稳序列。介绍了利用开源机器软件库NumPy、Keras进行数据处理的过程。在Python环境中基于循环神经网络-长短期记忆的使用开发了一个类,显示了该任务的适用性。利用序列值迭代优化和数据采样窗口对模型进行训练。结果表明,所建立的模型具有较好的预测精度。为进一步研究该算法在分布式供电系统管理实践中的适用性,给出了结论。
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Application of Long Short-Term Memory for Energy Load Prediction in the Microgrid Using Python Software
The development of distributed power supply systems, microgrids is recognized as relevant and requires intensive study. Research on microgrid management systems is inextricably linked with data science. The paper presents a study of the use of software for predicting the load consumed by a typical microgrid over a monthly interval. The formulation of the problem of forecasting time series, applied to classical stationary series, is described. The process of data processing using the open-source machine software libraries NumPy, Keras is presented. A class is developed in the Python environment based on the use of recurrent neural networks-long short-term memory, the applicability for the task is shown. The model was trained using iterative optimization of the series value, and the data sampling window. The satisfactory accuracy of forecasting based on the developed model is shown. The conclusions for further study of the applicability of this algorithm in the practice of managing distributed power supply systems are presented.
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