计算具有时间限制的理性期望模型的太阳黑子解

M. Sorge
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引用次数: 1

摘要

以信息约束为特征的理性预期(RE)框架在宏观经济研究中越来越受欢迎。最近的一篇文献探讨了具有信息子周期的可再生能源模型的分析,其中外生冲击的发生是特定于时期的,决策者根据一系列嵌套的信息集(时间限制)来调整自己的选择和期望。假设无限制(全信息)RE模型满足鞍路稳定性,本文给出了有限(信息约束)RE模型的不可数无穷线性摄动解存在的充分必要条件,以及平衡不确定性发生时太阳黑子的全部解的计算算法。
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Computing sunspot solutions to rational expectations models with timing restrictions
Abstract Rational expectations (RE) frameworks featuring informational constraints are becoming increasingly popular in macroeconomic research. A recent strand of literature has explored the analytics of RE models with informational subperiods, in which the occurrence of exogenous shocks is period-specific and decision makers condition their own choices and expectations upon a sequence of nested information sets (timing restrictions). Assuming the unrestricted (full information) RE model satisfies saddle-path stability, this paper provides (i) necessary and sufficient conditions for existence of an uncountably infinite set of linearly perturbed solutions to its restricted (informationally constrained) counterpart, and (ii) an algorithm for computing the full set of sunspot solutions when equilibrium indeterminacy occurs.
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