GARCH标准残差的BDS检验的有限样本容量

Marcelo Fernandes, P. Preumont
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引用次数: 5

摘要

本文采用多变量响应面方法分析了应用于一阶GARCH过程的标准化残差时BDS测试的大小失真。结果表明,即使在大样本中,渐近标准正态分布也是一个不可靠的近似。另一方面,对标准化残差的平方进行简单的对数变换似乎可以纠正大多数大小问题。尽管如此,估计的响应面不仅可以提供尺寸失真的测量,而且还可以为小样本的北斗系统测试提供更适当的临界值。
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The Finite-Sample Size of the BDS Test for GARCH Standardized Residuals
This paper uses a multivariate response surface methodology to analyze the size distortion of the BDS test when applied to standardized residuals of rst-order GARCH processes. The results show that the asymptotic standard normal distribution is an unreliable approximation even in large samples. On the other hand, a simple log-transformation of the squared standardized residuals seems to correct most of the size problems. The estimated response surfaces can nonetheless provide not only a measure of the size distortion, but also more adequate critical values for theBDS test in small samples.
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