2000-2010年重庆市流动人口空间分布、演变与驱动力

Deng Wenjing
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文研究了2000 - 2010年重庆市流动人口的空间分布、演变及其驱动力。该研究是根据当年的第五次、第六次人口普查和暂住人口普查数据进行的。本文首先介绍1996 - 2010年重庆人口消长的特征。重庆一直处于人口外流模式,但这一趋势在2007年停止。其次,分析了2000 - 2010年重庆市区县流动人口的空间差异演变。对四个规划政策区域的人口吸收绩效进行了研究,结果表明,许多外围区县的人口从流入向流出转移,特别是那些有优惠政策的区县。从2000年到2010年,“一小时圈”地区和区域中心的人口和经济比重都有所下降。第三,FP分布与经济和收入因素之间的相关性证实了一个规律,即除了一些明显的例外,人们倾向于向经济繁荣、政策优惠和收入较高的地区迁移。总之,重庆成为直辖市后,经过13年的经济强劲发展,其劳动力并没有吸收,而是在流失。决定流动人口区位的因素不是制度因素,而是经济因素,如产业发展和交通条件。与华东其他发达城市不同,重庆的外来人口主要集中在城区。重庆空间政策的效果不是很明显,并不是空间政策有什么问题,而是强调了空间政策和非空间政策之间需要更多的合作。
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Spatial distribution, evolution and driving force of floating population of Chongqing Municipality in 2000–2010
This paper studies the spatial distribution, evolution and driving force behind the floating population in Chongqing Municipality from 2000 to 2010. The research is based on the data of the fifth and sixth population censuses and the temporary resident censuses for those same years. The paper will first introduce characteristics of Chongqing's decline and rise in population from 1996 to 2010. Chongqing had continually been in the mode of population outflow but this trend stopped in 2007. Second, the author analyzes the spatial divergence evolution of floating population (FP) among Chongqing's districts and counties from 2000 to 2010. The performance in population absorption of four planning policy areas was studied and the outcome shows that many peripheral districts and counties transferred from population inflow to outflow, especially those with preferential policies. Both the population and economy proportions of the One Hour Circle area and the regional centers shrunk from 2000 to 2010. Third, the correlation between FP distribution and economic and income factors confirmed, with some notable exceptions, the rule that people tend to migrate towards these areas with a booming economy, preferential policies and higher income. In short, after having been designated as a municipality directly under the Central Government and having 13 years of strong economic development, Chongqing municipality is still losing its labor force rather than absorbing it. The factors determining the floating population's location are not institutional, but economic, such as industrial development and transportation conditions. Differing from other developed cities in east China, the inflow population of Chongqing is mainly concentrated in the city proper. The effect of the spatial policies in Chongqing is not very evident, not that there is something wrong with the spatial policies, but highlighting the need for more cooperation between spatial and non-spatial policies.
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