探讨covid -19引发的供应链中断的测量方法及其对小农经济脆弱性的影响

N. Karunarathna, D. Siriwardhane, Amila Jayarathne
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摘要

本研究的主要目的是探讨衡量covid -19引起的供应链中断的适当因素,以及这些中断对斯里兰卡小农经济脆弱性的影响。调查结果显示,即使在大流行期间,尽管有一些挑战影响了他们的经济状况,但大多数农民仍继续耕种。因此,我们得出结论,2019冠状病毒病导致的运输和需求中断加剧了小农在供应和生产中断方面的经济脆弱性。本研究的结果对于制定新的政策以提高斯里兰卡农业部门的可持续性和减轻农村农业社区的贫困水平至关重要。由于农业是经济的一个重要部门,应该更加重视为农民提供政府鼓励的贷款或津贴,以保持他们的财务稳定。此外,有关政府当局应制定计划,以控制价格向所有农民进口和分发足够数量的肥料,使他们能够继续经营,不受任何干扰。此外,政府可以与私人组织合作,简化农业投入的供应过程。政府应该采取主动行动,认真考虑农民家庭的问题以及他们继续从事农业的动机。因此,农民的生计和农业繁荣可以通过替代农业投入和营销策略、提供财政援助、鼓励创新技术等来升级。原创性/价值尽管斯里兰卡蔬菜和水果部门的重要性和脆弱性,但对2019冠状病毒病措施造成的供应链中断及其对农民生计的影响进行的实证研究是有限的。此外,以往的实证研究没有使用足够的定量工具来分析情况,也没有使用适当的变量来评估covid -19引起的中断。因此,本研究利用探索性因素分析探索了衡量covid -19引起的供应链中断的适当因素。然后,通过有序logistic回归分析揭示了这些因素对小农经济脆弱性的影响。
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Exploring the measurements of COVID-19-induced supply chain disruptions and their implications on the economic vulnerability of small-scale farmers
PurposeThe main aim of this study is to explore the appropriate factors in measuring COVID-19-induced supply chain disruptions and the impact of these disruptions on the economic vulnerability of small-scale farmers in Sri Lanka.FindingsThe findings revealed that most of the farmers have continued to cultivate even during the pandemic despite several challenges which affected their economic status. Therefore, it is concluded that COVID-19-induced transportation and demand disruptions exacerbated the economic vulnerability of small-scale farmers over the disruptions in supply and production.Practical implicationsThe findings of this study are crucial for formulating novel policies to improve the sustainability of the Sri Lankan agricultural sector and alleviate the poverty level of Agri-communities in the countryside. As farming is a vital sector in the economy, increased attention ought to be given on facilitating farmers with government-encouraged loans or allowances for their financial stability. Further, the respective government authorities should develop programs for importing and distributing adequate quantities of fertilizers among all the farmers at controlled prices so that they can continue their operations without any interruption. Moreover, the government could engage in collaboratively work with private organizations to streamline the Agri-input supply process. There should be a government initiative for critical consideration of the issues of farming families and their continued motivation to engage in agriculture. Thus, farmers' livelihoods and agricultural prosperity could be upgraded through alternative Agri-inputs and marketing strategies, providing financial assistance, encouraging innovative technology, etc.Originality/valueDespite the significance and vulnerability of the vegetable and fruit sector in Sri Lanka, there is a limitation in the empirical studies conducted on the supply chain disruptions caused by COVID-19 measures and their implications on the farmers' livelihood. Furthermore, previous empirical research has not employed adequate quantitative tools to analyze the situation or appropriate variables in evaluating COVID-19-induced disruptions. Hence, the current study explored the appropriate factors for measuring COVID-19-induced supply chain disruption using exploratory factor analysis. Then, the impact of those factors on the economic vulnerability of the small scale farmers was revealed through the ordinal logistics regression analysis.
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