能源消费、金融发展与经济增长关系的动态面板数据分析

Tarek Sadraoui, H. Hamlaoui, Zine Youness, Imen Ben Sadok
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引用次数: 9

摘要

本文通过2000-2018年的面板数据分析,探讨了中东和北非地区经济增长与能源消费总量、经济增长与金融发展之间的协整关系和格兰杰因果关系。与现有有限的中东和北非地区省级研究不同,一种先进的面板计量经济学方法,如动态面板数据技术,考虑了能源使用-经济增长-金融发展关系的问题。研究结果表明,能源消费对经济增长具有显著的正向影响。此外,金融发展与经济增长之间存在正相关关系。因此,在地方政府制定具体的能源和经济政策之前,研究能源使用总量和金融体系的因果关系是很重要的。
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A Dynamic Panel Data Analysis for Relationship between Energy Consumption, Financial Development and Economic Growth
The purpose of this work is to investigate the cointegration and Granger causal relationship between economic growth and total energy consumption as well as the relationship between economic growth and financial development in the MENA region by using a panel data analysis the period over 2000-2018. Different from limited existing provincial studies on the MENA region, an advanced panel econometric methodologies such as dynamic Panel data techniques consider the question of the energy use-economic growth-financial development nexus. Our results suggest that energy consumption exerts a positive and significant impact on economic growth. Furthermore a positive relationship between financial development and economic growth was detected. Thereby it is important to examine the causal effects of both the total energy use and the financial system before local governments make specific energy and economic policies.
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