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Understanding Growth Strategies and Performance: Empirical Investigation of Cement Manufacturing Firms in Kenya 理解成长策略与绩效:对肯尼亚水泥制造企业的实证调查
Pub Date : 2023-06-09 DOI: 10.12691/ijefm-11-1-2
Roselyne Kavata Munyasya, Stephen M. A. Muathe
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引用次数: 0
Forecasting Stock Market Out-of-Sample with Regularised Regression Training Techniques 用正则化回归训练技术预测股票市场样本外
Pub Date : 2023-05-07 DOI: 10.12691/ijefm-11-1-1
Jonathan Iworiso
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引用次数: 0
Study on Level Evaluation and Development Path of the Open Economy in Ningxia 宁夏开放型经济水平评价与发展路径研究
Pub Date : 2022-03-16 DOI: 10.12691/ijefm-10-1-2
Liu Xiuling, Zhu Ruixue
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引用次数: 0
Economic Analysis of Takeovers and Mergers and the Evaluation of Takeover Bids 收购与兼并的经济分析与收购出价的评估
Pub Date : 2022-02-08 DOI: 10.12691/ijefm-10-1-1
V. Bukvic
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引用次数: 0
Cleaning Strategies and Cost Modelling of Experimental Membrane-based Desalination Plants 实验膜基海水淡化厂的清洁策略和成本模型
Pub Date : 2021-07-20 DOI: 10.12691/IJEFM-9-1-2
D. Karimanzira, J. Went, F. Neumann
In Project WASTEC, an experimental Reverse Osmosis (RO) desalination system was developed. It serves as a platform for testing new technologies. For this system, we solved two problems, which are described in this paper. Firstly, we developed and investigated strategies for scheduling chemical enhanced backwashing and chemical cleaning and secondly, due to the experimental nature of the project, several new technological developments with respect to materials and methods were integrated into the system and requires tools for evaluating the economic viability of the new technologies. In this task, the economics of membrane-based desalination will be investigated. Baseline systems of reverse osmosis and pretreatment systems (microfiltration and ultrafiltration) will be economically examined and compared for their investments and operational costs. Sensitivity of the different plant and membrane parameters to the cost will be studied. Results show that with respect to costs, for a 200m3/hr design capacity plant, a volume of water is produced by a MF process at a cost of $0.494 and at a cost of $0.486 by an ultrafiltration process microfiltration. The reverse osmosis process cannot be compared directly, but it required $ 0.49 / m3 for a plant with 56 m3/hour design capacity. The values are in line with the costs reported in literature for membrane-based filtration.
在WASTEC项目中,开发了一个实验性的反渗透(RO)海水淡化系统。它是测试新技术的平台。针对该系统,我们解决了两个问题,本文对此进行了描述。首先,我们开发和研究了化学强化反洗和化学清洗的调度策略,其次,由于项目的实验性质,在材料和方法方面的一些新技术发展被整合到系统中,需要评估新技术经济可行性的工具。在这项任务中,膜基脱盐的经济性将进行研究。将对反渗透和预处理系统(微滤和超滤)的基线系统进行经济审查,并对其投资和运行成本进行比较。研究了不同的装置和膜参数对成本的敏感性。结果表明,在成本方面,对于一个设计容量为200m3/hr的工厂,采用MF工艺生产一体积水的成本为0.494美元,采用超滤工艺微滤的成本为0.486美元。反渗透工艺不能直接比较,但对于设计能力为56立方米/小时的工厂,其成本为0.49美元/立方米。这些值与文献中报道的膜基过滤成本一致。
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引用次数: 0
Globalization of Economy: Strengthening of Inequalities between Countries and the Possibility of Reducing Them 经济全球化:国家间不平等的加剧与减少不平等的可能性
Pub Date : 2021-05-22 DOI: 10.12691/IJEFM-9-1-1
Chelihi Imene, Djellaba Ali, Larbaa El Hadi
Through the globalized economy that essentially leans on the liberalization of commercial exchange between the different countries all over the world, it seems like some countries and even entire continents like Africa are in isolation from the prosperity resulting from free exchanges. This contribution aims at examining the several ways which effectively use the results of trade liberation in amplifying the developing countries’ potential of achieving development. It was concluded that this liberalization includes many developing countries, but unequally leading to deeper poverty and impairment, furthermore, it is important that the developing countries become aware of the depth of liberalization mechanisms and create bases to benefit from it to achieving a structural changes which would eventually enable these countries to overcome poverty and impairment.
全球化经济基本上依赖于世界各地不同国家之间商业交流的自由化,似乎一些国家甚至整个大陆,如非洲,与自由交流所带来的繁荣隔绝开来。这篇文章的目的是审查有效利用贸易自由化成果扩大发展中国家实现发展潜力的几种方法。会议的结论是,这种自由化包括许多发展中国家,但不平等地导致更深的贫穷和损害,此外,重要的是发展中国家认识到自由化机制的深度,并创造基础,以便从中受益,实现结构变革,最终使这些国家能够克服贫穷和损害。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of Health Spending on Economic Growth: Case of France 医疗支出对经济增长的影响:以法国为例
Pub Date : 2020-11-18 DOI: 10.12691/ijefm-8-2-4
Chrigui Zouhair, Mgadmi Nidhal, S. Tarek
This paper intends to shows that health expenditure is a fundamental determinant of economic growth of every nation and that increasing expenditure on health leads to higher growth rates. For this reason, we empirically validated the impact of health spending on economic growth in France. Hence, we have found that health spending has a positive impact on economic growth, that is to say, any increase in this spending generates an augment in French economic growth. Also, we deduce that France must further improve the health insurance system and raise health care spending, given its importance for economic growth and well-being.
本文旨在表明卫生支出是每个国家经济增长的基本决定因素,增加卫生支出会导致更高的增长率。因此,我们通过实证验证了法国医疗支出对经济增长的影响。因此,我们发现卫生支出对经济增长有积极影响,也就是说,这种支出的任何增加都会增加法国的经济增长。此外,我们推断,鉴于医疗保险对经济增长和福祉的重要性,法国必须进一步改善医疗保险制度,提高医疗支出。
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引用次数: 0
Cointegration Analysis of Major African Stock Markets 非洲主要股票市场的协整分析
Pub Date : 2019-09-27 DOI: 10.12691/ijefm-7-1-5
J. H. Claver, Bruno Dinga, F. Louis, Shu Felix, Andjiga Gabriel
Globalization, technological advancements and financial liberalization have made it possible for stock markets in different countries to interact and affect and/or influence each other both in the short-run and in the long-run. This study uses the Dickey-Fuller, Engle-Granger method and the Johansen method to test for cointegration using a pair wise analysis between the stock markets in five African countries. These countries are Nigeria, Egypt, South Africa, Morocco, and Mauritius. The Granger causality test is equally used to understand the short-run linkages between the stock markets. All statistical tests are carried out using the R statistical software. Weekly stock indices from January 2010 to December 2015 are employed, with each stock price expressed in local currency. Correlation between the stock markets is very low, with the strongest correlation coefficient being just 31% between the stock Exchange of Mauritius and the Johannesburg Stock Exchange. Cointegration analyses reveal long-run associationship between twelve, out of the twenty-one pairs of stock markets. Granger causality tests reveal bidirectional causality between the South African and Mauritian stock markets and the South African and Nigerian stock markets. Unidirectional causality was also found from the Nigerian stock market to the Moroccan stock market and from the Nigerian stock market to the Mauritian stock market. This research will help investors to invest wisely in the stock markets examined. It will equally aid economic experts and policy makers in these countries to understand the impact of a shock on economic variables on the economy.
全球化、技术进步和金融自由化使不同国家的股票市场有可能在短期和长期内相互影响和/或相互影响。本研究使用Dickey-Fuller、Engle-Granger方法和Johansen方法对五个非洲国家股票市场之间的协整进行检验。这些国家是尼日利亚、埃及、南非、摩洛哥和毛里求斯。格兰杰因果检验同样用于理解股票市场之间的短期联系。所有统计检验均使用R统计软件进行。采用2010年1月至2015年12月的每周股票指数,每只股票的价格均以当地货币表示。股票市场之间的相关性非常低,毛里求斯证券交易所与约翰内斯堡证券交易所之间的相关系数最高,仅为31%。协整分析揭示了21对股票市场中12对之间的长期关联。格兰杰因果检验显示南非和毛里求斯股市与南非和尼日利亚股市之间存在双向因果关系。尼日利亚股市与摩洛哥股市、尼日利亚股市与毛里求斯股市也存在单向因果关系。这项研究将有助于投资者明智地投资于所考察的股票市场。同样,它将帮助这些国家的经济专家和政策制定者了解冲击对经济变量的影响。
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引用次数: 1
A Dynamic Panel Data Analysis for Relationship between Energy Consumption, Financial Development and Economic Growth 能源消费、金融发展与经济增长关系的动态面板数据分析
Pub Date : 2019-06-13 DOI: 10.12691/IJEFM-7-1-3
Tarek Sadraoui, H. Hamlaoui, Zine Youness, Imen Ben Sadok
The purpose of this work is to investigate the cointegration and Granger causal relationship between economic growth and total energy consumption as well as the relationship between economic growth and financial development in the MENA region by using a panel data analysis the period over 2000-2018. Different from limited existing provincial studies on the MENA region, an advanced panel econometric methodologies such as dynamic Panel data techniques consider the question of the energy use-economic growth-financial development nexus. Our results suggest that energy consumption exerts a positive and significant impact on economic growth. Furthermore a positive relationship between financial development and economic growth was detected. Thereby it is important to examine the causal effects of both the total energy use and the financial system before local governments make specific energy and economic policies.
本文通过2000-2018年的面板数据分析,探讨了中东和北非地区经济增长与能源消费总量、经济增长与金融发展之间的协整关系和格兰杰因果关系。与现有有限的中东和北非地区省级研究不同,一种先进的面板计量经济学方法,如动态面板数据技术,考虑了能源使用-经济增长-金融发展关系的问题。研究结果表明,能源消费对经济增长具有显著的正向影响。此外,金融发展与经济增长之间存在正相关关系。因此,在地方政府制定具体的能源和经济政策之前,研究能源使用总量和金融体系的因果关系是很重要的。
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引用次数: 9
Estimation of Import Demand Function Using ARDL Method: Evidence from Nepal 用ARDL方法估计进口需求函数:来自尼泊尔的证据
Pub Date : 2019-01-19 DOI: 10.12691/IJEFM-6-2-3
K. Dhungel
Nepal’s dependence on remittance has been increasing over the years. This has the direct positive impact on overall consumption and in turn indirect positive impact on import. This paper aims to estimate the import demand function during the period 1990-2017 with the help of autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model. Bound testing conforms the existence of cointegration among the variables (import, remittance, gross domestic product, and consumer price index). The elasticity coefficient of import with respect to remittance is found 1.37 and 0.97 in the short and long run respectively. It implies that a 1% increase in remittance leads to increase the import by 1.37% in the short run and 0.97% in the long run respectively. Similarly, the elasticity coefficient of import with respect to GDP is found 0.24 and 0.14 in the short and long run respectively. It implies that a 1% increase in GDP leads to increase the import by 0.24% in the short run and 0.14% in the long run respectively. The elasticity coefficient of import with respect to CPI is found insignificant. These findings proved that the remittance is the key factor to increase the import in Nepal.
多年来,尼泊尔对汇款的依赖一直在增加。这对整体消费有直接的积极影响,反过来又对进口有间接的积极影响。本文旨在利用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型估计1990-2017年期间的进口需求函数。约束检验符合变量(进口、汇款、国内生产总值和消费者价格指数)之间协整的存在。进口相对于汇款的弹性系数在短期和长期分别为1.37和0.97。这意味着,汇款增加1%,短期和长期进口分别增加1.37%和0.97%。同样,进口相对于GDP的弹性系数在短期和长期分别为0.24和0.14。这意味着GDP每增长1%,短期和长期进口分别会增加0.24%和0.14%。进口弹性系数对CPI的影响不显著。这些研究结果证明,汇款是尼泊尔增加进口的关键因素。
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引用次数: 4
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International Journal of Econometrics and Financial Management
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