中国冲击与巴西女性劳动力市场参与

Juliana Cristofani, Ana Polato e Fava, Mônica Yukie Kuwahara
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摘要

巴西是建立在进口替代基础上的经济增长的成功案例。最近,随着中国经济的冲击,该国经济面临着更激烈的竞争。在同一时期,巴西劳动力市场中正式女性工人的比例增加了12%。本文探讨了中国冲击在巴西当地劳动力市场(或微区域)之间的变化,以确定中国参与国际贸易的扩大是否能够改善2000年至2013年间巴西劳动力市场中女性的状况(以女性正规化比例和女性与男性工人的工资比例衡量)。这是第一个评估中国冲击的两个渠道,即中国进口产品涌入巴西和中国对巴西出口产品需求增加,如何影响巴西正式妇女的结果的研究,数据来自巴西劳动力市场(RAIS和人口普查)和巴西与中国之间的贸易流动信息(BACI数据库)。
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China Shock and Female Labor Market Participation in Brazil
Brazil was a successful case of economic growth based on import substitution. Recently, with the China shock, the country’s economy has been exposed to greater competition. In a similar period, an increase of 12 percent in the proportion of formalized female workerstook place in the Brazilian labor market. This paper explores the variation of China Shock between Brazilian local labor markets (or microregions) to identify whether the expansion of Chinese participation in international trade was able to improve the women’s conditions in the Brazilian labor market between 2000 and 2013 measured by the proportion of women formalized, and the wage ratio of female to male workers. It is the first study to assess how the two channels of China shock, the influx of Chinese imports in Brazil, and the increase in Chinese demand for Brazilian exports, affected the outcomes of formal Brazilian women, with data from the Brazilian labor market (RAIS and Census) and information on trade flows between Brazil and China (BACI database).
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