重复集体决策的模型

Antonin Macé, Rafael Treibich
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引用次数: 0

摘要

重复博弈理论为各种环境下的合作提供了令人信服的理论基础。然而,它对集体决策的影响在很大程度上尚未得到探索。本文提出了一个重复投票的一般模型,并研究了选择多数规则下的均衡行为。我们的主要特征揭示了多数阈值、偏好分布和最优均衡结果之间复杂的非单调关系。与阶段博弈均衡相反,重复博弈的最优均衡涉及一种隐性博弈形式,个体有时会投票反对自己的偏好以实现有效决策。这反过来又影响了最优投票规则,这可能与真诚投票下的最优投票规则存在显著差异。该模型为使用一致同意规则提供了一个基本原理,同时解释了在使用较低多数门槛的委员会中普遍存在的共识。该论文的完整版本可在https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4114079上获得
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A Model of Repeated Collective Decisions
The theory of repeated games offers a compelling rationale for cooperation in a variety of environments. Yet, its consequences for collective decision-making have been largely unexplored. In this paper, we propose a general model of repeated voting and study equilibrium behavior under alternative majority rules. Our main characterization reveals a complex, non-monotonic, relationship between the majority threshold, the preference distribution, and the optimal equilibrium outcome. In contrast with the stage-game equilibrium, the optimal equilibrium of the repeated game involves a form of implicit logroll, individuals sometimes voting against their preference to achieve the efficient decision. In turn, this affects the optimal voting rule, which may significantly differ from the optimal rule under sincere voting. The model provides a rationale for the use of unanimity rule, while accounting for the prevalence of consensus in committees which use a lower majority threshold. The full version of the paper is available at: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4114079
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