实时深度学习模型的开发与应用,提高定向钻井效率

Dingzhou Cao, Donald G. Hender, Sam Ariabod, Chris James, Y. Ben, Micheal Lee
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引用次数: 4

摘要

本文提供了开发实时深度学习模型的技术细节,该模型基于单一测量(立管压力,SPP)来检测和估计旋转导向系统(RSS)下行序列的持续时间。基于下行识别结果和其他实时测井数据(ROP、RPM、扭矩等),进一步分析可以提高定向钻井效率。实时RSS下行链路识别被视为图像分割问题。深度学习(DL)模型使用动态U-Net概念创建,并使用预训练的ResNet-34作为底层架构实现。由于训练样本数量有限(每口陆上井下行100次),因此采用了迁移学习,以帮助提高速度和准确性。SPP时间序列数据基于钻管架进行分割(每架一幅图像)。然后,这个“图像”被输入到模型中进行下行识别。为了进一步提高准确性,在测试模型并将其部署到实时钻井(RTD)系统中时,应用了第二意见机制。使用双模型方法大大减少了由于非下行压力波动引起的“噪声”而产生的误报数量。SPP的格局及其变化率(δ SPP)有很大的不同。它们在识别下行链路方面各有利弊,因此基于这两个信号建立了两个独立的模型。DL模型A基于原始SPP信号进行训练,DL模型B基于增量SPP信号进行训练,只有当两个模型都显示正结果时才确认下行链路。使用RSS钻井的10口陆上井(2台钻机)的数据进行了分割(共8165张图像)并进行了标记。671张图片有795张下行链路,7980张图片没有下行链路。采用五重交叉验证技术确定最佳模型。盲测结果F1得分为0.991(准确率为~99.82%,见表2),持续时间估计的相对误差为2.49%。目前,RTD系统中的钻机组合使用了RSS和泥浆马达等钻井工具。为了进一步验证模型对钻井工具的鲁棒性,使用21台钻机的泥浆马达井数据集(25431张无下行链接的图像)进行了额外的测试。该扩展测试集中出现了3个假阴性结果,使得31口井数据集的准确率达到了99.93%。结果表明,模型准确、可靠、鲁棒性好。本文提出的实时深度学习解决方案使作业者能够在下行事件期间和之间分析RSS性能。这将使钻井工程师和钻机主管能够更快、更可靠地根据数据做出决策,以优化性能和井眼轨迹的定向控制。
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The Development and Application of Real-Time Deep Learning Models to Drive Directional Drilling Efficiency
This paper provides the technical details to develop a real-time deep learning model to detect and estimate the duration of downlinking sequences of Rotary Steerable Systems (RSS) based on a single measurement (standpipe pressure, SPP). Further analytics are derived based on the downlink recognition results together with other real-time log data (ROP, RPM, Torque, etc.) to drive directional drilling efficiency. Real-time RSS downlink recognition is treated as an image segmentation problem. The Deep Learning (DL) models were created using the dynamic U-Net concept and materialized with a pre-trained ResNet-34 as the underlying architecture. Transfer learning was used due to the limited number of training samples (≪ 100 downlinks per onshore well) to help with speed and accuracy. The SPP time series data was segmented based on stand of pipe drilled (one image per stand). This "image" was then fed into the model for downlink recognition. To further increase the accuracy, a second opinion mechanism was applied when the models were tested and deployed into the Real-Time Drilling (RTD) system. Using a dual model approach greatly reduced the number of false positives due to non-downlink pressure fluctuations causing "noise". The patterns of SPP and its rate of change (delta SPP) are quite different. They both have pros and cons for identifying the downlink, thus two independent models were built based on these two signals. The DL model A is trained based on the original SPP signal and the DL model B is trained based on delta SPP. A downlink is confirmed only when both models show positive results. Data of 10 onshore wells (2 rigs) drilled with RSS were segmented (8165 images in total) and labeled. There were 671 images with 795 downlinks and 7980 images without downlink. The five-fold cross-validation technique was used to identify the best model(s). The F1 score of blind test result was .991 (accuracy was ~99.82%, see Table 2). The relative error of duration estimation is 2.49%. The current rig fleet within the RTD system has a mix of drilling tool configurations - RSS and mud motors. To further validate the models’ robustness regarding drilling tools, additional tests were conducted using mud motor wells’ datasets from 21 rigs (25431 images without downlink). There were 3 false negatives from this extended test set, which resulted in a ~99.93% accuracy for the aggregated 31 wells dataset. These results suggest that the models are accurate, reliable and robust. The real-time DL solution presented in this paper enables operators to analyze RSS performance during and between downlinking events. This would allow drilling engineers and rig supervisors to make faster, more reliable data-driven decisions to optimize performance and directional control of the well path.
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