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The Development and Application of Real-Time Deep Learning Models to Drive Directional Drilling Efficiency 实时深度学习模型的开发与应用,提高定向钻井效率
Pub Date : 2020-02-25 DOI: 10.2118/199584-ms
Dingzhou Cao, Donald G. Hender, Sam Ariabod, Chris James, Y. Ben, Micheal Lee
This paper provides the technical details to develop a real-time deep learning model to detect and estimate the duration of downlinking sequences of Rotary Steerable Systems (RSS) based on a single measurement (standpipe pressure, SPP). Further analytics are derived based on the downlink recognition results together with other real-time log data (ROP, RPM, Torque, etc.) to drive directional drilling efficiency. Real-time RSS downlink recognition is treated as an image segmentation problem. The Deep Learning (DL) models were created using the dynamic U-Net concept and materialized with a pre-trained ResNet-34 as the underlying architecture. Transfer learning was used due to the limited number of training samples (≪ 100 downlinks per onshore well) to help with speed and accuracy. The SPP time series data was segmented based on stand of pipe drilled (one image per stand). This "image" was then fed into the model for downlink recognition. To further increase the accuracy, a second opinion mechanism was applied when the models were tested and deployed into the Real-Time Drilling (RTD) system. Using a dual model approach greatly reduced the number of false positives due to non-downlink pressure fluctuations causing "noise". The patterns of SPP and its rate of change (delta SPP) are quite different. They both have pros and cons for identifying the downlink, thus two independent models were built based on these two signals. The DL model A is trained based on the original SPP signal and the DL model B is trained based on delta SPP. A downlink is confirmed only when both models show positive results. Data of 10 onshore wells (2 rigs) drilled with RSS were segmented (8165 images in total) and labeled. There were 671 images with 795 downlinks and 7980 images without downlink. The five-fold cross-validation technique was used to identify the best model(s). The F1 score of blind test result was .991 (accuracy was ~99.82%, see Table 2). The relative error of duration estimation is 2.49%. The current rig fleet within the RTD system has a mix of drilling tool configurations - RSS and mud motors. To further validate the models’ robustness regarding drilling tools, additional tests were conducted using mud motor wells’ datasets from 21 rigs (25431 images without downlink). There were 3 false negatives from this extended test set, which resulted in a ~99.93% accuracy for the aggregated 31 wells dataset. These results suggest that the models are accurate, reliable and robust. The real-time DL solution presented in this paper enables operators to analyze RSS performance during and between downlinking events. This would allow drilling engineers and rig supervisors to make faster, more reliable data-driven decisions to optimize performance and directional control of the well path.
本文提供了开发实时深度学习模型的技术细节,该模型基于单一测量(立管压力,SPP)来检测和估计旋转导向系统(RSS)下行序列的持续时间。基于下行识别结果和其他实时测井数据(ROP、RPM、扭矩等),进一步分析可以提高定向钻井效率。实时RSS下行链路识别被视为图像分割问题。深度学习(DL)模型使用动态U-Net概念创建,并使用预训练的ResNet-34作为底层架构实现。由于训练样本数量有限(每口陆上井下行100次),因此采用了迁移学习,以帮助提高速度和准确性。SPP时间序列数据基于钻管架进行分割(每架一幅图像)。然后,这个“图像”被输入到模型中进行下行识别。为了进一步提高准确性,在测试模型并将其部署到实时钻井(RTD)系统中时,应用了第二意见机制。使用双模型方法大大减少了由于非下行压力波动引起的“噪声”而产生的误报数量。SPP的格局及其变化率(δ SPP)有很大的不同。它们在识别下行链路方面各有利弊,因此基于这两个信号建立了两个独立的模型。DL模型A基于原始SPP信号进行训练,DL模型B基于增量SPP信号进行训练,只有当两个模型都显示正结果时才确认下行链路。使用RSS钻井的10口陆上井(2台钻机)的数据进行了分割(共8165张图像)并进行了标记。671张图片有795张下行链路,7980张图片没有下行链路。采用五重交叉验证技术确定最佳模型。盲测结果F1得分为0.991(准确率为~99.82%,见表2),持续时间估计的相对误差为2.49%。目前,RTD系统中的钻机组合使用了RSS和泥浆马达等钻井工具。为了进一步验证模型对钻井工具的鲁棒性,使用21台钻机的泥浆马达井数据集(25431张无下行链接的图像)进行了额外的测试。该扩展测试集中出现了3个假阴性结果,使得31口井数据集的准确率达到了99.93%。结果表明,模型准确、可靠、鲁棒性好。本文提出的实时深度学习解决方案使作业者能够在下行事件期间和之间分析RSS性能。这将使钻井工程师和钻机主管能够更快、更可靠地根据数据做出决策,以优化性能和井眼轨迹的定向控制。
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引用次数: 4
Simplifying Well Abandonments Using Shale as a Barrier 利用页岩作为屏障简化弃井作业
Pub Date : 2020-02-25 DOI: 10.2118/199654-ms
E. Oort, M. Juenger, M. Aldin, A. Thombare, M. McDonald, Alex Lucas, F. Ditlevsen
Well abandonment is one of the biggest challenges in the oil and gas industry, both in terms of cost and effort as well as the technical hurdles associated with wellbore isolation for an indefinite term. A mechanism that may be exploited to simplify well abandonments is using natural shale formations for the creation of annular barriers. Currently, uncemented annuli often require casing milling and pulling before abandonment plugs can be set, which necessitates the use of a drilling rig. This is an expensive, time- and labor-intensive process, particularly offshore. However, shale creep may naturally form a barrier behind uncemented casing sections. With a qualified annular shale barrier in place, the well may only require the setting of abandonment plugs within the existing casing string(s), a task that can often be done rigless and with significantly less effort. The work described in this paper presents the results of a rock mechanical investigation into the creep behavior of North Sea shales and their ability to form effective annular barriers. Field core from the Lark-Horda shale was used to conduct dedicated, customized experiments that simulated the behavior of shale confined under downhole effective stress, pressure and temperature conditions to fill in an annular space behind a simulated casing string. Full scale tri-axial rock mechanics equipment was used for testing cylindrical shale samples obtained from well-preserved field core in a set-up that mimicked an uncemented casing section of a well. The deformation behavior of the shale was monitored for days to weeks, and the formation of the annular barrier was characterized using dedicated strain measurements and pressure pulse decay probing of the annular space. The large-scale lab results clearly show that the Lark-Horda shales will form competent low permeability annular barriers when left uncemented, as confirmed using pressure-pulse decay measurements. They also show that experimental conditions influence the rate of barrier formation: higher effective stress, higher temperature and beneficial manipulation of the annular fluid chemistry all have a significant effect. This then opens up the possibility of activating shale formations that do not naturally create barriers by themselves into forming them, e.g. by exposing them to low annular pressure, elevated temperature, different annular fluid chemistry, or a combination. The results are in very good agreement with field observations reported earlier by several North Sea operators.
弃井是油气行业面临的最大挑战之一,无论是在成本和工作量方面,还是在无限期井眼隔离相关的技术障碍方面。一种简化弃井作业的方法是利用天然页岩地层制造环空屏障。目前,未固井环空通常需要磨铣和拔出套管,然后才能坐封弃井桥塞,这就需要使用钻机。这是一个昂贵、耗时和劳动密集型的过程,特别是在海上。然而,页岩蠕变可能在未胶结的套管段后面自然形成屏障。有了合格的环空页岩屏障,该井可能只需要在现有套管柱内设置弃井桥塞,这项任务通常无需钻机就能完成,而且工作量大大减少。本文描述的工作是对北海页岩蠕变行为及其形成有效环空屏障的能力进行岩石力学研究的结果。使用Lark-Horda页岩的现场岩心进行专门的定制实验,模拟页岩在井下有效应力、压力和温度条件下的行为,以填充模拟套管柱后面的环空空间。全尺寸三轴岩石力学设备用于测试从保存完好的现场岩心中获得的圆柱形页岩样品,该装置模拟了一口井的未胶结套管部分。对页岩的变形行为进行了数天至数周的监测,并利用专用的应变测量和环空空间的压力脉冲衰减探测来表征环空屏障的形成。大规模的实验室结果清楚地表明,当不进行胶结时,Lark-Horda页岩将形成有效的低渗透环空屏障,这一点通过压力脉冲衰减测量得到了证实。他们还表明,实验条件影响屏障形成的速度:更高的有效应力、更高的温度和有益的环空流体化学操作都有显著的影响。这就开启了激活页岩层的可能性,这些页岩层本身不会自然形成屏障,例如,将其暴露于低环空压力、高温、不同的环空流体化学或多种组合中。结果与之前几家北海运营商的现场观测结果非常吻合。
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引用次数: 5
The Company Man Programme 公司人计划
Pub Date : 2020-02-25 DOI: 10.2118/199659-ms
T. Morton
The Company Man or Drilling Supervisor is one of the key personnel who can mitigate and minimize risk in drilling operations and ensure Non-Productive Time is kept to a minimum. Their technical competency is crucial to running safe and efficient drilling operations and industry generally ensures these key personnel have the knowledge and skills to do this. However equally or even more importantly, are those skills in the human factors sphere since these account for some 80% of the total causal factors for accidents and incidents offshore. This is especially pertinent for well control incidents but similarly true for all other events. The application of non-technical skills to safety and efficiency should be seen as crucial in all high-risk operations. This is well understood in the aviation and other industries where CRM (Crew Resource Management) has been practiced for some time. The oil and gas industry is starting to recognise the ever-increasing importance that psychological factors play in safe and efficient operations. Furthermore to make the step-change improvement needed in operational safety and efficiency requires all members of the well operations team to have effective development in the application of non-technical skills. Non-technical skills and human factors encompass many elements all of which influence our behaviour. In a work environment these include different areas; for example environmental and organisational components, the use of a variety of equipment, various processes and procedures and the characteristics of many different personnel along with their skills and competencies. It is widely acknowledged many of the world's worst oil field incidents are directly attributable to human error and decision-making. It is notable that some incidents may initially appear straightforward but are frequently exacerbated by human error. Risk and costs increase and in the worst cases results in blowouts or other major disasters. A new programme has been developed to address this and assist in embedding these non-technical skills. It is recognised this is a new area where traditionally industry has only trained in a technical manner and this will require commitment from all.
公司负责人或钻井主管是能够降低钻井作业风险并确保将非生产时间保持在最低限度的关键人员之一。他们的技术能力对于安全高效的钻井作业至关重要,行业通常确保这些关键人员具备相关的知识和技能。然而,同样甚至更重要的是,人为因素领域的技能,因为这些因素占海上事故和事件总因果因素的80%左右。这尤其适用于井控事件,但同样适用于所有其他事件。应将非技术技能应用于安全和效率,这在所有高风险行动中都是至关重要的。这在航空和其他已经实践了一段时间的CRM(机组资源管理)行业是很好的理解。油气行业开始认识到心理因素在安全高效作业中的重要性。此外,为了提高作业安全性和效率,需要所有井作业团队成员在非技术技能的应用方面有有效的发展。非技术技能和人为因素包含许多因素,所有这些因素都会影响我们的行为。在工作环境中,这些包括不同的领域;例如,环境和组织成分,各种设备的使用,各种过程和程序以及许多不同人员的特征以及他们的技能和能力。人们普遍认为,世界上许多最严重的油田事故都可直接归因于人为错误和决策。值得注意的是,有些事件最初可能看起来很简单,但往往因人为错误而加剧。风险和成本增加,在最坏的情况下会导致井喷或其他重大灾难。已经制定了一个新的方案来解决这个问题,并协助嵌入这些非技术技能。人们认识到,这是一个新的领域,传统行业只以技术方式进行培训,这将需要所有人的承诺。
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引用次数: 0
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