人工智能视角下的进化博弈论视角下艰难梭菌与共生菌的动态

Tianxiao Jiang
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摘要

艰难梭菌(Clostridium difficile, C. Diff)感染(CDI)是最严重的医院获得性疾病之一,它是由肠道共生菌的紊乱引起的,如抗菌治疗。它会导致包括腹泻、假膜性结肠炎甚至死亡在内的几种症状。由于CDI对抗生素的高耐药性,很难用抗生素治疗。最常用的治疗艰难梭菌感染的方法是粪便移植,目的是恢复正常的共生菌群。为了提高预防和治疗的有效性,模拟共生菌与C. diff之间的种群动态将有所帮助。本项目主要是应用进化博弈论建立这样一个模型。该模拟能够给出使种群动态从健康状态转变为疾病状态的共生细菌种群的临界值。说明CDI不是由共生菌逐渐减少引起的,而是共生菌数量减少到一定程度所致。抗生素也参与了模拟。结果表明,抗生素能杀死大量的共生菌,从而导致CDI的发生。C. diff抗生素耐药性的增加会增加CDI的发病率。该模型的高度灵活性也允许模拟其他类型的种群动态。然而,这种模式还处于概念阶段,离实际应用还有很长的路要走。
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The dynamics of Clostridium Difficile and commensal bacteria through the lens of evolutionary game theory from perspectives of artificial intelligence
Clostridium difficile (C. Diff) Infection (CDI) is one of the most severe hospital-acquired diseases, it is caused by the disturbance of intestinal commensal bacteria such as the antimicrobial treatment. It can result in several symptoms including diarrhea, pseudomembranous colitis and even death. CDI can hardly be treated with antibiotic agents due to its high resistance to antibiotics. The most commonly used treatment for C. diff infection is a faecal transplant, which aims to recover the normal population of the commensal bacteria. To improve the effectiveness of prevention and treatment, a simulation of the population dynamics between commensal bacteria and C. diff would be helpful. This project mainly focused on the establishment of such a model with the application of evolutionary game theory. The simulation was able to give the critical value of the population of commensal bacteria that shifts the population dynamic from healthy to disease state. It suggested that the CDI is not caused by the gradual decrease of commensal bacteria but by the population of commensal bacteria decreased to a certain level. Antibiotics were also involved in the simulation. The result showed the antibiotics could kill a large proportion of commensal bacteria thus resulting in the CDI. Increase in the antibiotic resistance of C. diff will increase the incidence of CDI. The high flexibility of this model also allowed other types of population dynamics to be simulated. However, this model is still of concept, there is a long way to go before its practical application.
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