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引用次数: 1

摘要

我们考虑两个面对随机需求的独立零售商。由于交货时间长,销售季节短,零售商通过期权合同从供应商那里获得商品。在销售季节开始时,当需求实现时,零售商可以通过与另一个零售商进行期权交易来调整自己的头寸。我们的重点是推导两个独立零售商之间的期权交易的可能性如何影响每个零售商的最优订单和最优利润。采用博弈论作为分析工具。证明了零售商最优订单的期权交易在纯策略下存在唯一的纳什均衡。有期权交易的零售商的最优利润高于无期权交易的零售商。零售商的期权交易最优订单均增加期权交易价格。存在唯一的最优期权价格,产生零售商的共同最优利润。
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Optimal order policies for supply chain with options contracts
We consider two independent retailers that face stochastic demand. Because of long lead-time and short selling season, retailers obtain goods from a supplier via options contract. At the beginning of the selling season, retailer can adjust their positions by trading options with another when the demand is realized. We focus on deriving how the possibility of such options trading between two independent retailers affects each retailer's optimal order and optimal profit. Game theory is adopted as an analysis tool. We show that there exists a unique Nash equilibrium in pure strategy for retailers' optimal orders with options trading. The retailer's optimal profit with options trading is higher than the case without options trading. The retailers' optimal orders with options trading all increase in options trading price. There exists a unique optimal options price that yields the retailers' joint optimal profit.
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