基于有限波动分析的随机高速公路通行能力模型敏感性分析方法

A. Sysoev, N. Voronin
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文介绍了将有限波动分析应用于神经网络模型的敏感性分析方法,该模型反映了高速公路路段通行能力受多种外部因素影响的动态变化。所提出的数值例子是根据来自环路和雷达探测器的数据进行的,这些数据描述了德国高速公路各路段长期工作区内的通行能力,其中包含对因素显著性的计算得分。并将该方法与神经网络模型灵敏度分析中常用的Garson算法进行了比较;两者结果的相似性证明了有限波动分析在该领域应用的相关性。
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Approach to Sensitivity Analysis of Stochastic Freeway Capacity Model Based on Applying Analysis of Finite Fluctuations
The paper introduces approach to Sensitivity Analysis based on applying Analysis of Finite Fluctuations to neural network model showing the dynamics of freeway section capacity depending on several external factors. The presented numerical examples, conducted on data from loop and radar detectors describing the capacity within long-term work zones on sections of German freeways, contain calculated scores on factors significance. There is also given the comparison between the proposed approach and Garson algorithm which is common in Sensitivity Analysis of neural network models; the similarity of both results proves the relevance of applying Analysis of Finite Fluctuations in this field.
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