父母职业与家庭安排对巴西青年职业选择的影响

Danyella Juliana Martins de Brito, A. M. Hermeto Camilo de Oliveira, Stélio Coêlho Lombardi Filho
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摘要

本文估计了巴西大城市年轻人的额外工人效应和气馁工人效应。它的主要贡献是揭示了考虑到巴西近几十年来所经历的人口变化,特别是家庭安排的规模和组成,户主向失业的过渡如何影响年轻人的劳动力供应。我们使用巴西2002年至2015年月度就业调查(PME)的数据设计了覆盖该国主要大都市地区的多项probit模型(有或没有样本选择偏差的修正),该数据汇编了巴西劳动力市场月度转变的信息。我们的研究结果表明,有证据表明,在户主失业的时期,年轻男性和女性在劳动力市场上的活跃程度更高,特别是从不活跃到失业。另一方面,没有证据表明统计上有显著的沮丧工人效应影响这些人。此外,与富裕家庭不同,父母的职业状况似乎对低收入家庭年轻男性向激活的转变影响不大。
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The Effect of Parental Occupation and Family Arragements on Occupational Choices among Brazilian Youth
This paper estimates the added worker effect and discouraged worker effect for young people in metropolitan Brazil. Its main contribution is to reveal how the transition to unemployment by the household head impacts labor supply among youth, considering the demographic changes – especially the size and composition of family arrangements – that Brazil has undergone in recent decades. We designed multinomial probit models (with and without correction of sample selection bias) covering the main metropolitan regions of the country using data from Brazil’s Monthly Employment Survey (PME) for the years 2002 to 2015, which compiles information on monthly transitions in the Brazilian labor market. Our findings point to evidence of a greater transition of young men and women to activation in the labor market, specifically from inactivity to unemployment, in periods when the household head became unemployed. On the other hand, there is no evidence of a statistically significant discouraged worker effect impacting these individuals. Furthermore, the parents’ occupational situation seems to have little effect on the transition to activation of young males in low-income families, unlike those belonging to wealthier families.
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