新凯恩斯菲利普斯曲线与不完全汇率传递

Syed Kanwar Abbas
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摘要

摘要本文估计了不完全汇率传递(即偏离一价定律)条件下的新凯恩斯菲利普斯曲线。我们的研究结果描述了不完全传递下的通胀动态和商业周期的性质,以及国内价格刚性和进口价格刚性对美国和其他四个开放经济体的重要性。进口价格和国内价格刚性的结构参数估计不相同,影响通货膨胀-产出缺口弹性和通货膨胀-单价格缺口弹性规律。与偏离单一价格规律相比,结果对实际活动(以及国内通胀)的稳定产生了影响。
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The New Keynesian Phillips Curve and Imperfect Exchange Rate Pass-Through
Abstract This paper estimates the New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) with imperfect exchange rate pass-through (alternatively, deviations from the law of one price). Our results describe the nature of inflation dynamics and business cycles under imperfect pass-through, with importance of both domestic price rigidity and import price rigidity for the US and other four open economies. The estimates of structural parameters of the import price and domestic price rigidities are not same and affect inflation-output gap elasticity and inflation-law of one price gap elasticity. The results yield implications for the stabilisation of real activity (also domestic inflation) compared to the deviations from the law of one price.
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