基于支持向量回归的越南TICH-BUI河水位预测

Thanh-Tung Nguyen, Hien T. T. Le
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文采用支持向量回归模型对堤布河流域下游站水位进行了预测。研究调查了八个测量站收集的降雨数据和下游站的水位对业绩预测的影响。建立了6、12、18、24铅前下游站水位预报模型。虽然该模式不需要有关气候、地形的资料,但预报结果是准确的。在6 h和12 h前的水位预报中,Nash系数的值大于98.81%,RMSE值小于0.20 m。这一结果表明,这组作者用来实时准确预测水位的支持向量回归模型可以用来警告越南河流的洪水。
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Water Level Prediction at TICH-BUI river in Vietnam Using Support Vector Regression
In this paper, the support vector regression model is used to predict water levels at a downstream station of the Tich-Bui river basin. The study investigated the effects of rainfall data collected from eight gauging stations and water levels at the downstream station for the performance forecast. The model was set up to forecast water levels at the downstream station before 6-lead-hour, 12-lead-hour, 18-lead-hour and 24-lead-hour. Although the model does not require data on the climate, terrain but the forecast results are accurate. In the case of a water level forecast before 6 hours and 12 hours, the Nash coefficient gives a value of over 98.81% and the RMSE value is less than 0.20 m. This results suggest that the support vector regression model, which the authors use to accurately predict water levels in real time, can be used to warn of floods in Vietnam's rivers.
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